PAR Technology Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| PAR Stock | USD 15.85 -0.94 -5.60% |
Momentum
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0743 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.54 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.1225 | Wall Street Target Price 36.6667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.0314 |
This view frames how PAR Technology responds to recent headlines and peer activity within its market context. Sentiment is summarized using PAR Technology's options positioning and short interest activity.
PAR Technology Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in PAR Technology's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards PAR. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of PAR Technology stock and how bullish or bearish investors.
200 Day MA 43.5909 | Short Percent 0.2185 | Short Ratio 4.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.4 M | 50 Day MA 26.9286 |
PAR Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of PAR Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 14.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 134.15.PAR Technology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PAR Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PAR. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PAR can time the market purely based on public headlines and social.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PAR Technology's market sentiment to its price can help traders make decisions based on the overall investor consensus about PAR Technology.
PAR Technology Implied Volatility | 2.25 |
PAR Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PAR Technology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PAR Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of PAR Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 14.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 134.15.PAR Technology after-hype prediction price | $ 15.85 |
Sentiment indicators are one input among forecasting models, technical signals, analyst estimates, earnings data, and momentum measures.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of PAR Technology to cross-verify projections for PAR Technology. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Rule 16 for the current PAR contract - Volatility Context
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 0.14% for the 2026-03-20 options. With PAR Technology trading near $ 15.85, that translates to about $ 0.0223 per day in either direction.
Open Interest for PAR 2026-03-20 Options
Open interest counts active option contracts on PAR Technology, providing a view of participation and positioning in the options market. It adds context to volatility and price behavior.
PAR Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PAR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PAR using various technical indicators. When you analyze PAR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 14th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of PAR Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 14.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.16 , mean absolute percentage error of 7.92 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 134.15 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PAR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PAR Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PAR Technology | PAR Technology Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for PAR Technology uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PAR Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PAR Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.0181 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.1637 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0769 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 134.1489 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PAR Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PAR Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PAR Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PAR Technology's historical news coverage.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to PAR Technology assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PAR Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PAR Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PAR Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.18 | 5.47 | 1.26 | 0.09 | 9 Events | 7 Events | In 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.85 | 15.85 | 0.00 |
|
Hype Timeline
On the 13th of March 2026 PAR Technology is traded for 15.85. The company has historical hype elasticity of 1.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. PAR is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on PAR Technology is about 6837.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.94. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.84. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PAR Technology has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.77. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.09. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. PAR Technology completed a 3:2 stock split on 9th of January 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 9 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of PAR Technology to cross-verify projections for PAR Technology. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PAR Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PAR Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how PAR Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALIT | Alight Inc | 0.01 | 11 per month | 0.00 | -0.16 | 5.88 | -5.96 | 44.05 | |
| AMPL | Amplitude | 0.03 | 12 per month | 0.00 | -0.13 | 5.08 | -7.59 | 21.44 | |
| KDK | Kodiak AI Common | -0.21 | 10 per month | 3.05 | 0.16 | 8.29 | -6.08 | 20.14 | |
| LSPD | Lightspeed Commerce | -0.17 | 11 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 2.54 | -4.71 | 15.21 | |
| PD | Pagerduty | -0.12 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.21 | 4.09 | -5.49 | 18.35 | |
| MLNK | Meridianlink | -0.01 | 5 per month | 0.15 | 0.12 | 1.15 | -0.96 | 25.01 | |
| KARO | Karooooo | 0.03 | 8 per month | 1.99 | 0.02 | 3.97 | -3.61 | 13.23 | |
| FSLY | Fastly Class A | 2.40 | 10 per month | 2.52 | 0.17 | 8.39 | -5.46 | 78.26 | |
| ADEA | ADEIA P | -0.33 | 7 per month | 1.89 | 0.22 | 6.08 | -3.39 | 36.55 | |
| PRCH | Porch Group | -0.83 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 5.96 | -6.71 | 20.87 |
Other Forecasting Options for PAR Technology
For every potential investor in PAR, whether a beginner or expert, PAR Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.PAR Technology Related Equities
The following equities are related to PAR Technology within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing PAR Technology against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PAR Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PAR Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PAR Technology shares will generate the highest return on.
| Accumulation Distribution | 160352.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.65 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 16.32 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.16 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.94 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.94 |
PAR Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of PAR Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PAR Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 3.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.36 | |||
| Variance | 28.75 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PAR Technology
Coverage intensity for PAR Technology matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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PAR Technology Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to PAR Technology matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 80.1 M |
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