Osceola Gold Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| OSCI Pink Sheet | USD 0.1 -0.02 -17.33% |
Osceola Gold's Double Exponential Smoothing reference page covers the model's projected value and error measures from recent price data. The forecast output and associated deviation metrics are shown for informational use. The model is fitted to available historical daily prices for Osceola Gold. This page is updated as new daily closing prices become available for Osceola Gold.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Osceola Gold on the next trading day is projected to be 0.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.59.When Osceola Gold prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Osceola Gold trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Osceola Gold observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. All Double Exponential Smoothing forecast figures shown for Osceola Gold are reference data reflecting model output based on available historical prices. Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Osceola Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 0.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.59 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Osceola Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Osceola Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
Forecasting Osceola Gold for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Osceola Gold pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Osceola Gold pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0024 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0098 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0994 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.5888 |
Other Forecasting Options for Osceola Gold
Bollinger Bands applied to Osceola Pink Sheet price data measure how far Osceola has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Osceola Gold's price data. On-balance volume for Osceola Pink Sheet creates a running indicator of buying versus selling pressure in Osceola. Price departures from the channel boundary often mean-revert, offering tactical signals for Osceola Gold's.Osceola Gold Related Equities
The peer firms below within the Materials space can help frame Osceola Gold's pricing and running costs in context. Looking at Osceola Gold's pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount. Peer review is most useful when paired with absolute pricing and trend checks.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Osceola Gold Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Osceola Gold, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of pink sheet behavior. These indicators add context to timing decisions around Osceola Gold positions. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Osceola Gold. These metrics provide actionable context for both entry and risk management decisions around Osceola Gold.
Osceola Gold Risk Indicators
Analyzing Osceola Gold's basic risk indicators provides investors with a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for osceola pink sheet. By identifying the level of risk embedded in Osceola Gold's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing. Analyzing Osceola Gold's risk indicators gives investors important context for price forecasting. Understanding the risk in Osceola Gold's investment allows investors to make informed choices about mitigating exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 9.44 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 8.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.25 | |||
| Variance | 175.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 174.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 72.98 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -18.61 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Osceola Gold
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At Osceola Gold, financial ratios outline links between core financial data. Values are aligned to support consistent measurement over time.