Offerpad Solutions Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| OPAD Stock | USD 1.05 0.03 2.94% |
Offerpad Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Offerpad Solutions stock prices and determine the direction of Offerpad Solutions's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Offerpad Solutions' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Offerpad Solutions' share price is approaching 40. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Offerpad Solutions, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.28) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.52) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.50) | Wall Street Target Price 2.2167 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.26) |
Using Offerpad Solutions hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Offerpad Solutions from the perspective of Offerpad Solutions response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Offerpad Solutions using Offerpad Solutions' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Offerpad using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Offerpad Solutions' stock price.
Offerpad Solutions Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Offerpad Solutions' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Offerpad. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Offerpad Solutions stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 2.0032 | Short Percent 0.1728 | Short Ratio 0.71 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.4 M | 50 Day MA 1.5518 |
Offerpad Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Offerpad Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 1.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.82.Offerpad Solutions Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Offerpad Solutions' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Offerpad. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Offerpad can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Offerpad Solutions. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Offerpad Solutions' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Offerpad Solutions.
Offerpad Solutions Implied Volatility | 2.69 |
Offerpad Solutions' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Offerpad Solutions stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Offerpad Solutions' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Offerpad Solutions stock will not fluctuate a lot when Offerpad Solutions' options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Offerpad Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 1.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.82.
Offerpad Solutions after-hype prediction price | USD 1.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Offerpad Solutions to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Offerpad Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Offerpad Solutions' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Offerpad Solutions' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Offerpad Solutions stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Offerpad Solutions' open interest, investors have to compare it to Offerpad Solutions' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Offerpad Solutions is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Offerpad. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Offerpad Solutions Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Offerpad price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Offerpad using various technical indicators. When you analyze Offerpad charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Offerpad Solutions Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Offerpad Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 1.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Offerpad Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Offerpad Solutions' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Offerpad Solutions Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Offerpad Solutions | Offerpad Solutions Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Offerpad Solutions Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Offerpad Solutions' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Offerpad Solutions' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 9.60, respectively. We have considered Offerpad Solutions' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Offerpad Solutions stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Offerpad Solutions stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0251 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0971 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0581 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.8247 |
Predictive Modules for Offerpad Solutions
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Offerpad Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Offerpad Solutions After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Offerpad Solutions at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Offerpad Solutions or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Offerpad Solutions, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Offerpad Solutions Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Offerpad Solutions' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Offerpad Solutions' historical news coverage. Offerpad Solutions' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 9.58, respectively. We have considered Offerpad Solutions' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Offerpad Solutions is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Offerpad Solutions is based on 3 months time horizon.
Offerpad Solutions Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Offerpad Solutions is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Offerpad Solutions backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Offerpad Solutions, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.58 | 8.57 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.05 | 1.05 | 0.00 |
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Offerpad Solutions Hype Timeline
Offerpad Solutions is now traded for 1.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Offerpad is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.58%. %. The volatility of related hype on Offerpad Solutions is about 128550.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.05. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.22. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Offerpad Solutions recorded a loss per share of 1.91. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:15 split on the 13th of June 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Offerpad Solutions to cross-verify your projections.Offerpad Solutions Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Offerpad Solutions' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Offerpad Solutions' future price movements. Getting to know how Offerpad Solutions' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Offerpad Solutions may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MAYS | J W Mays | 0.15 | 3 per month | 1.90 | 0.03 | 3.87 | (3.84) | 16.12 | |
| RFL | Rafael Holdings | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.92 | (3.28) | 31.43 | |
| FTHM | Fathom Holdings | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.38 | (8.91) | 32.95 | |
| AFCG | AFC Gamma | (0.11) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.16 | (7.17) | 25.20 | |
| STHO | Star Holdings | (0.11) | 6 per month | 2.25 | (0.01) | 3.91 | (2.77) | 12.93 | |
| OMH | Ohmyhome Limited Ordinary | 0.01 | 3 per month | 7.45 | 0.01 | 12.87 | (11.88) | 49.81 | |
| LODE | Comstock Mining | 0.17 | 8 per month | 5.32 | 0.0008 | 8.36 | (7.81) | 25.76 | |
| ASPS | Altisource Portfolio Solutions | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 4.77 | (8.48) | 19.75 | |
| SACH | Sachem Capital Corp | (0.06) | 6 per month | 2.00 | (0.01) | 3.00 | (4.67) | 13.97 |
Other Forecasting Options for Offerpad Solutions
For every potential investor in Offerpad, whether a beginner or expert, Offerpad Solutions' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Offerpad Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Offerpad. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Offerpad Solutions' price trends.Offerpad Solutions Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Offerpad Solutions stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Offerpad Solutions could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Offerpad Solutions by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Offerpad Solutions Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Offerpad Solutions stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Offerpad Solutions shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Offerpad Solutions stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Offerpad Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Offerpad Solutions Risk Indicators
The analysis of Offerpad Solutions' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Offerpad Solutions' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting offerpad stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.79 | |||
| Variance | 77.2 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Offerpad Solutions
The number of cover stories for Offerpad Solutions depends on current market conditions and Offerpad Solutions' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Offerpad Solutions is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Offerpad Solutions' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Offerpad Solutions Short Properties
Offerpad Solutions' future price predictability will typically decrease when Offerpad Solutions' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Offerpad Solutions often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Offerpad Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Offerpad Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 43 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Offerpad Solutions to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Offerpad Stock refer to our How to Trade Offerpad Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Will Real Estate Management & Development sector continue expanding? Could Offerpad diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Offerpad Solutions. Anticipated expansion of Offerpad directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Offerpad Solutions data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (1.91) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.36) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Offerpad Solutions is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Offerpad that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Offerpad Solutions' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Offerpad Solutions' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Offerpad Solutions' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Offerpad Solutions' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Offerpad Solutions' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Offerpad Solutions should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Offerpad Solutions' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.