OGE Energy Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| OGE Stock | USD 43.51 0.35 0.80% |
OGE Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast OGE Energy stock prices and determine the direction of OGE Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of OGE Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of OGE Energy's share price is at 52. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling OGE Energy, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.047 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.308 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.289 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.4194 | Wall Street Target Price 46.3182 |
Using OGE Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OGE Energy from the perspective of OGE Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards OGE Energy using OGE Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards OGE using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of OGE Energy's stock price.
OGE Energy Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in OGE Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards OGE. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of OGE Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 44.4625 | Short Percent 0.0446 | Short Ratio 5.48 | Shares Short Prior Month 7 M | 50 Day MA 43.4866 |
OGE Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of OGE Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 43.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.26.OGE Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to OGE Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in OGE. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding OGE can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around OGE Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of OGE Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about OGE Energy.
OGE Energy Implied Volatility | 0.74 |
OGE Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of OGE Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if OGE Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that OGE Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when OGE Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of OGE Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 43.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.26. OGE Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 43.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OGE Energy to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current OGE contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that OGE Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0463% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With OGE Energy trading at USD 43.51, that is roughly USD 0.0201 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating OGE Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring OGE Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.74%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 OGE Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast OGE Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in OGE Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for OGE Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current OGE Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to OGE Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of OGE Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in OGE. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
OGE Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OGE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OGE using various technical indicators. When you analyze OGE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
OGE Energy Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of OGE Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 43.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.26.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OGE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OGE Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OGE Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest OGE Energy | OGE Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
OGE Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting OGE Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OGE Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.65 and 44.37, respectively. We have considered OGE Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OGE Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OGE Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.7286 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0047 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3435 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0079 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.265 |
Predictive Modules for OGE Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OGE Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OGE Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OGE Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OGE Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OGE Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OGE Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OGE Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OGE Energy's historical news coverage. OGE Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.65 and 44.37, respectively. We have considered OGE Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OGE Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OGE Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
OGE Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OGE Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OGE Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OGE Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
43.51 | 43.51 | 0.00 |
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OGE Energy Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January OGE Energy is traded for 43.51. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. OGE is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on OGE Energy is about 373.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.51. About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.88. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. OGE Energy last dividend was issued on the 5th of January 2026. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of July 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OGE Energy to cross-verify your projections.OGE Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OGE Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OGE Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how OGE Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OGE Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PNW | Pinnacle West Capital | (0.56) | 7 per month | 0.89 | (0.04) | 1.77 | (1.41) | 4.17 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | 0.51 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.27 | (1.56) | 5.00 | |
| IDA | IDACORP | 2.27 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.42 | (1.60) | 4.65 | |
| WTRG | Essential Utilities | 0.43 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.17 | (2.43) | 6.22 | |
| PCG | PGE Corp | (0.69) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.79 | (2.31) | 6.66 | |
| AES | The AES | (0.19) | 12 per month | 1.48 | 0.04 | 3.14 | (2.47) | 8.82 | |
| UGI | UGI Corporation | (0.27) | 10 per month | 0.64 | 0.19 | 2.42 | (1.16) | 10.28 | |
| POR | Portland General Electric | 0.48 | 7 per month | 0.77 | 0.08 | 2.20 | (1.23) | 5.33 | |
| TXNM | TXNM Energy | 0.09 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 0.52 | (0.29) | 1.45 |
Other Forecasting Options for OGE Energy
For every potential investor in OGE, whether a beginner or expert, OGE Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OGE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OGE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OGE Energy's price trends.OGE Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OGE Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OGE Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OGE Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
OGE Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OGE Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OGE Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OGE Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OGE Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 43.51 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 43.51 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.18) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.35) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 52.72 |
OGE Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of OGE Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OGE Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oge stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7235 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9144 | |||
| Variance | 0.8361 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for OGE Energy
The number of cover stories for OGE Energy depends on current market conditions and OGE Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OGE Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OGE Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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OGE Energy Short Properties
OGE Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when OGE Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OGE Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OGE Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OGE Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 201.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 600 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OGE Energy to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade OGE Stock refer to our How to Trade OGE Stock guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Will Electric Utilities sector continue expanding? Could OGE diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OGE Energy. Anticipated expansion of OGE directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every OGE Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.047 | Dividend Share 1.685 | Earnings Share 2.49 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.082 |
Investors evaluate OGE Energy using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating OGE Energy's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause OGE Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between OGE Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding OGE Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, OGE Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.