Oculis Holding Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| OCS Stock | 24.80 0.00 0.00% |
Oculis Holding AG's Simple Regression reference page covers the model's projected value and error measures from recent price data. The forecast output and associated deviation metrics are shown for informational use. The model is fitted to available historical daily prices for Oculis Holding. This page is updated as new daily closing prices become available for Oculis Holding.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Oculis Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 29.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.81.In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Oculis Holding AG historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data. All Simple Regression forecast figures shown for Oculis Holding AG are reference data reflecting model output based on available historical prices. Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Oculis Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 29.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.10 , mean absolute percentage error of 5.53 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.81 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oculis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oculis Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Oculis Holding | Oculis Holding Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Oculis Holding AG focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oculis Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oculis Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.8208 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0952 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.083 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 127.8095 |
Other Forecasting Options for Oculis Holding
Bollinger Bands applied to Oculis Stock price data measure how far Oculis has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Oculis Holding's price data. On-balance volume for Oculis Stock creates a running indicator of buying versus selling pressure in Oculis. Price departures from the channel boundary often mean-revert, offering tactical signals for Oculis Holding's.Oculis Holding Related Equities
These related stocks within the Health Care space give benchmarks for judging Oculis Holding's results, margins, and growth trend. Checking cash flow across this peer set helps gauge Oculis Holding's relative financial strength.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Oculis Holding Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Oculis Holding AG, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. By using these indicators, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell Oculis Holding AG. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Oculis Holding. These metrics provide actionable context for both entry and risk management decisions around Oculis Holding AG.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0565 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.28 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.12 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.47 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.47 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.72 |
Oculis Holding Risk Indicators
Analyzing Oculis Holding's basic risk indicators provides investors with a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for oculis stock. By identifying the level of risk embedded in Oculis Holding's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing. Analyzing Oculis Holding's risk indicators gives investors important context for price forecasting. Understanding the risk in Oculis Holding's investment allows investors to make informed choices about mitigating exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.35 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Variance | 8.4 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.38 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Oculis Holding
Story coverage around Oculis Holding AG often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
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Oculis Holding Short Properties
A short-interest review of Oculis Holding AG provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 213.3 M |
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