National Storage Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| NSA Stock | USD 38.84 0.20 0.52% |
This page provides reference data for National Storage using Simple Moving Average forecasting. The projected value and error metrics are calculated from available daily price observations.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of National Storage Affiliates on the next trading day is expected to be 38.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.27.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of National Storage Affiliates price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of National Storage. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future This Simple Moving Average reference page for National Storage presents model-generated projections from historical price data for informational purposes. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of National Storage Affiliates on the next trading day is expected to be 38.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 , mean absolute percentage error of 2.29 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.27 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict National Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that National Storage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates National Storage's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 34.58 on the downside to about 43.10 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of National Storage stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent National Storage stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.0999 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2821 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7546 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0222 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 45.275 |
Other Forecasting Options for National Storage
For investors considering National, National Storage's price movement is the most direct driver of investment returns. Noise in National Stock price charts can make identifying meaningful trends difficult without dedicated analytical tools.National Storage Related Equities
The following equities are related to National Storage within the Real Estate space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing National Storage against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
National Storage Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for National Storage provide investors with a view of how the stock performs across different market environments. By analyzing these indicators, traders can determine the best moments to enter or exit positions in National Storage Affiliates.
National Storage Risk Indicators
A structured analysis of National Storage's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve the accuracy of price forecasts. Understanding the risk embedded in National Storage's allows investors to decide whether to accept, reduce, or hedge their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.09 | |||
| Variance | 16.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.15 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for National Storage
Coverage intensity for National Storage Affiliates matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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National Storage Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to National Storage Affiliates matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 76.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.6 M |