Newmont Stock Forward View
| NMM Stock | EUR 94.50 11.20 10.60% |
Newmont Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Newmont's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, The relative strength momentum indicator of Newmont's share price is at 53. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Newmont, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.081 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.2 |
Using Newmont hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Newmont from the perspective of Newmont response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Newmont on the next trading day is expected to be 95.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 115.69. Newmont after-hype prediction price | EUR 94.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Newmont |
Newmont Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Newmont price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Newmont using various technical indicators. When you analyze Newmont charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Newmont Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Newmont on the next trading day is expected to be 95.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.90, mean absolute percentage error of 5.99, and the sum of the absolute errors of 115.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Newmont Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Newmont's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Newmont Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Newmont | Newmont Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Newmont Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Newmont's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Newmont's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 93.01 and 98.84, respectively. We have considered Newmont's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Newmont stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Newmont stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.9007 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.8965 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0222 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 115.6895 |
Predictive Modules for Newmont
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Newmont. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Newmont After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Newmont at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Newmont or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Newmont, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Newmont Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Newmont's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Newmont's historical news coverage. Newmont's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 91.59 and 97.41, respectively. We have considered Newmont's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Newmont is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Newmont is based on 3 months time horizon.
Newmont Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Newmont is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Newmont backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Newmont, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.57 | 2.91 | 0.06 | 0.71 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
94.50 | 94.50 | 0.00 |
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Newmont Hype Timeline
Newmont is now traded for 94.50on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.71. Newmont is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.57%. %. The volatility of related hype on Newmont is about 232.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 95.21. About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Newmont was now reported as 25.38. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.72. Newmont recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.37. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of November 2025. The firm had 1:15 split on the 21st of May 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newmont to cross-verify your projections.Newmont Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Newmont's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Newmont's future price movements. Getting to know how Newmont's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Newmont may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WI2 | Wizz Air Holdings | 0.13 | 8 per month | 2.19 | 0.13 | 7.00 | (4.24) | 16.41 | |
| PNT | Pentair plc | 0.18 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.93 | (2.45) | 6.48 | |
| 10N | Enter Air SA | 0.1 | 6 per month | 0.61 | 0.15 | 3.44 | (1.76) | 18.84 | |
| CE1 | Perdoceo Education | 0.20 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.99 | (3.81) | 11.33 | |
| FRI | Fair Isaac Corp | 9.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.17 | (2.92) | 13.15 | |
| SXV | Xinhua Winshare Publishing | 0.00 | 2 per month | 1.47 | (0.01) | 2.70 | (3.36) | 9.69 | |
| ZNHH | CHINA SOUTHN AIR H | (0.01) | 4 per month | 2.05 | 0.13 | 5.00 | (3.45) | 13.49 | |
| LA3A | Laureate Education | 0.40 | 9 per month | 2.39 | 0.05 | 3.45 | (3.38) | 23.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for Newmont
For every potential investor in Newmont, whether a beginner or expert, Newmont's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Newmont Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Newmont. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Newmont's price trends.Newmont Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Newmont stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Newmont could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Newmont by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Newmont Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Newmont stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Newmont shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Newmont stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Newmont entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Newmont Risk Indicators
The analysis of Newmont's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Newmont's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting newmont stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.35 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.08 | |||
| Variance | 9.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.18 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.58 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.46) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Newmont
The number of cover stories for Newmont depends on current market conditions and Newmont's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Newmont is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Newmont's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Newmont Stock
Newmont financial ratios help investors to determine whether Newmont Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Newmont with respect to the benefits of owning Newmont security.