Newsmax Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| NMAX Stock | 6.83 -0.33 -4.61% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year -1.09 | EPS Estimate Next Year -0.04 | Wall Street Target Price 20.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.04 |
This view frames how Newsmax responds to recent headlines and peer activity within its market context. Sentiment is summarized using Newsmax's options positioning and short interest activity.
Newsmax Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Newsmax's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Newsmax. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Newsmax stock and how bullish or bearish investors.
200 Day MA 10.9798 | Short Percent 0.1228 | Short Ratio 5.59 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.4 M | 50 Day MA 6.899 |
Newsmax Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Newsmax on the next trading day is expected to be 5.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.67.Newsmax Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Newsmax's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Newsmax. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Newsmax can time the market purely based on public headlines and social.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Newsmax's market sentiment to its price can help traders make decisions based on the overall investor consensus about Newsmax.
Newsmax Implied Volatility | 2.96 |
Newsmax's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Newsmax stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Newsmax's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Newsmax on the next trading day is expected to be 5.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.67.Newsmax after-hype prediction price | $ 6.83 |
Sentiment indicators are one input among forecasting models, technical signals, analyst estimates, earnings data, and momentum measures.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newsmax to cross-verify projections for Newsmax. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Rule 16 for the current Newsmax contract - Volatility Context
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 0.19% for the 2026-03-13 options. With Newsmax trading near $ 6.83, that translates to about $ 0.0126 per day in either direction.
Open Interest for Newsmax 2026-03-13 Options
Open interest counts active option contracts on Newsmax, providing a view of participation and positioning in the options market. It adds context to volatility and price behavior.
Newsmax Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Newsmax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Newsmax using various technical indicators. When you analyze Newsmax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 14th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Newsmax on the next trading day is expected to be 5.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.52 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.67 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Newsmax Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Newsmax's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Newsmax | Newsmax Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Newsmax uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Newsmax stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Newsmax stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.3029 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5914 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0867 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.6664 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Newsmax's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Newsmax at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Newsmax's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Newsmax's historical news coverage.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Newsmax assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Newsmax is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Newsmax backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Newsmax, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 3.68 | 0.27 | 0.15 | 10 Events | 7 Events | In 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.83 | 6.83 | 0.00 |
|
Hype Timeline
Newsmax is now traded for 6.83. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. Newsmax is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.46%. %. The volatility of related hype on Newsmax is about 1125.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.68. About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.86. Newsmax had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 10 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newsmax to cross-verify projections for Newsmax. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Newsmax's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Newsmax's future price movements. Getting to know how Newsmax's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCO | Clear Channel Outdoor | 0.02 | 11 per month | 1.90 | 0.13 | 4.83 | -3.41 | 17.04 | |
| GETY | Getty Images Holdings | -0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.16 | 5.59 | -10.84 | 22.46 | |
| CABO | Cable One | -0.77 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 10.79 | -7.70 | 20.13 | |
| NXDR | NXDR | 0.05 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 5.45 | -6.28 | 40.31 | |
| GRPN | Groupon | -0.16 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.24 | 4.70 | -6.87 | 15.68 | |
| DLX | Deluxe | 0.08 | 10 per month | 1.43 | 0.18 | 3.59 | -2.65 | 17.02 | |
| SSTK | Shutterstock | -2.42 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 4.58 | -5.07 | 17.93 | |
| QNST | QuinStreet | 0.1 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 4.87 | -4.51 | 19.19 | |
| MAX | MediaAlpha | -0.36 | 29 per month | 0.00 | -0.10 | 3.37 | -5.81 | 18.35 | |
| EEX | Emerald Expositions Events | 0.22 | 12 per month | 3.58 | 0.06 | 5.27 | -6.67 | 51.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Newsmax
For every potential investor in Newsmax, whether a beginner or expert, Newsmax's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Newsmax Related Equities
The following equities are related to Newsmax within the Communication Services space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Newsmax against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Newsmax Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Newsmax stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Newsmax shares will generate the highest return on.
Newsmax Risk Indicators
The analysis of Newsmax's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Newsmax's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.83 | |||
| Variance | 14.67 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Newsmax
Coverage intensity for Newsmax matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Story coverage on Macroaxis is built for readers who approach markets from different levels of experience but share the same need for disciplined investment context. Used well, these stories become part of a broader workflow built around idea generation, validation, and risk-adjusted portfolio design.
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Newsmax Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Newsmax matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 128.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 82.4 M |
More Resources for Newsmax Stock Analysis
A structured review of Newsmax often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Key ratios help frame profitability, efficiency, and growth context for Newsmax Stock. Outlined below are key reports that provide context for Newsmax Stock:Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newsmax to cross-verify projections for Newsmax. The view provides historical context for the projection set. For information on how to trade Newsmax Stock refer to our How to Trade Newsmax Stock guide.Analysis related to Newsmax should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
The market value of Newsmax is measured differently than book value, which reflects Newsmax accounting equity. Newsmax's market capitalization is 924.56 M. With a P/B ratio of 8.73, the market values Newsmax well above its book equity. Enterprise value stands at 799.42 M. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
Note that Newsmax's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For Newsmax, key inputs include a P/B ratio of 8.73, a profit margin of -55.99%, ROE of -50.35%, and revenue of 171.02 M. By contrast, market price reflects the level where buyers and sellers transact.