Nio Stock Forward View - Risk Adjusted Performance
| NIO Stock | USD 4.77 0.07 1.49% |
Nio Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Nio's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Nio's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Nio fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Nio's share price is approaching 40. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nio, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.40) | EPS Estimate Current Year (6.79) | EPS Estimate Next Year (3.24) | Wall Street Target Price 6.664 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (1.57) |
Using Nio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nio Class A from the perspective of Nio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nio using Nio's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nio using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nio's stock price.
Nio Short Interest
An investor who is long Nio may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Nio and may potentially protect profits, hedge Nio with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 5.1379 | Short Percent 0.0815 | Short Ratio 3.72 | Shares Short Prior Month 167.7 M | 50 Day MA 5.0606 |
Nio Relative Strength Index
Nio Class A Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nio's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nio. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nio can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nio Class A. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nio's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nio.
Nio Implied Volatility | 1.07 |
Nio's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nio Class A stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nio's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nio stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nio's options are near their expiration.
Nio after-hype prediction price | USD 4.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nio to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nio contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nio Class A will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0669% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Nio trading at USD 4.77, that is roughly USD 0.00319 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nio's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nio Class A options at the current volatility level of 1.07%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Nio Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Nio's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Nio's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Nio stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Nio's open interest, investors have to compare it to Nio's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Nio is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Nio. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Nio Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nio price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nio using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nio charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Nio Volatility | Backtest Nio | Information Ratio |
Nio Trading Date Momentum
| On February 01 2026 Nio Class A was traded for 4.77 at the closing time. Highest Nio's price during the trading hours was 5.02 and the lowest price during the day was 4.64 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 1st of February did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.42% . |
| Compare Nio to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Nio
For every potential investor in Nio, whether a beginner or expert, Nio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nio Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nio. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nio's price trends.Nio Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nio stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nio Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nio Class A entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Nio Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nio stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.81 | |||
| Variance | 7.89 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nio
The number of cover stories for Nio depends on current market conditions and Nio's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nio is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nio's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nio Short Properties
Nio's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nio's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nio Class A often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nio to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Will Automobile Manufacturers sector continue expanding? Could Nio diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nio. Anticipated expansion of Nio directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Nio data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (1.66) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.167 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Nio Class A's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Nio's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Nio's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Nio's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Nio's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nio should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Nio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.