Northern Graphite OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

NGPHF Stock  USD 0.23  0.01  4.17%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Northern Graphite on the next trading day is expected to be 0.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.42. Northern OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Northern Graphite's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the value of rsi of Northern Graphite's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Northern Graphite stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Northern Graphite shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Northern Graphite's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Northern Graphite and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Northern Graphite's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Northern Graphite, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Northern Graphite based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Northern Graphite hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Northern Graphite from the perspective of Northern Graphite response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Northern Graphite on the next trading day is expected to be 0.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.42.

Northern Graphite after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Northern Graphite to cross-verify your projections.

Northern Graphite Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Northern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Northern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Northern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Northern Graphite simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Northern Graphite are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Northern Graphite prices get older.

Northern Graphite Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Northern Graphite on the next trading day is expected to be 0.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Northern OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Northern Graphite's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Northern Graphite OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Northern GraphiteNorthern Graphite Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Northern Graphite Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Northern Graphite's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Northern Graphite's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 8.81, respectively. We have considered Northern Graphite's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.23
0.23
Expected Value
8.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Northern Graphite otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Northern Graphite otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.438
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0021
MADMean absolute deviation0.0069
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0442
SAESum of the absolute errors0.4183
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Northern Graphite forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Northern Graphite observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Northern Graphite

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Graphite. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.238.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.178.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Northern Graphite. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Northern Graphite's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Northern Graphite's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Northern Graphite.

Northern Graphite After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Northern Graphite at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Northern Graphite or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Northern Graphite, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Northern Graphite Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Northern Graphite's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Northern Graphite's historical news coverage. Northern Graphite's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 8.81, respectively. We have considered Northern Graphite's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.23
0.23
After-hype Price
8.81
Upside
Northern Graphite is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Northern Graphite is based on 3 months time horizon.

Northern Graphite OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Northern Graphite is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northern Graphite backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Northern Graphite, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.41 
8.58
 0.00  
  0.28 
0 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.23
0.23
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Northern Graphite Hype Timeline

Northern Graphite is now traded for 0.23. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.28. Northern is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.41%. %. The volatility of related hype on Northern Graphite is about 4355.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.51. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.54. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Northern Graphite recorded a loss per share of 0.05. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Northern Graphite to cross-verify your projections.

Northern Graphite Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Northern Graphite's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Northern Graphite's future price movements. Getting to know how Northern Graphite's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Northern Graphite may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ADXDFAdex Mining 0.19 4 per month 0.00  0.11  8.70 (12.90) 1,360 
WMLLFWealth Minerals 0.06 16 per month 8.21 (0.0005) 20.00 (16.67) 47.62 
LBNKFLithiumBank Resources Corp 0.19 8 per month 5.64  0.13  24.00 (9.09) 53.92 
ATCMFAtico Mining 0.00 0 per month 4.29  0.05  13.33 (7.14) 25.10 
UREQFDevEx Resources Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BVLDFBold Ventures 0.49 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PXCLFPhoenix Copper Limited 0.06 14 per month 0.00 (0.04) 0.00 (5.44) 63.49 
KWGBFKWG Resources 0.49 25 per month 8.99  0.05  28.00 (21.87) 87.14 
CODMFCoda Minerals Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 0.00  0.00  16.00 
CDBDFCloudbreak Discovery Plc 0.49 23 per month 0.00 (0.20) 0.00  0.00  17.86 

Other Forecasting Options for Northern Graphite

For every potential investor in Northern, whether a beginner or expert, Northern Graphite's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Northern OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Northern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Northern Graphite's price trends.

Northern Graphite Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Northern Graphite otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Northern Graphite could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northern Graphite by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Northern Graphite Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Northern Graphite otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Northern Graphite shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Northern Graphite otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Northern Graphite entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Northern Graphite Risk Indicators

The analysis of Northern Graphite's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Northern Graphite's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting northern otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Northern Graphite

The number of cover stories for Northern Graphite depends on current market conditions and Northern Graphite's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Northern Graphite is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Northern Graphite's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Northern Graphite Short Properties

Northern Graphite's future price predictability will typically decrease when Northern Graphite's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Northern Graphite often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Northern Graphite's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northern Graphite's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding81.4 M
Shares Float116.4 M

Other Information on Investing in Northern OTC Stock

Northern Graphite financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Graphite security.