National Fuel Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator

NFG Stock  USD 80.10  0.04  0.05%   
National Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of National Fuel's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of National Fuel's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of National Fuel's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of National Fuel and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from National Fuel's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with National Fuel Gas, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting National Fuel's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.317
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.915
EPS Estimate Current Year
8.008
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.6532
Wall Street Target Price
101.3333
Using National Fuel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of National Fuel Gas from the perspective of National Fuel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards National Fuel using National Fuel's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards National using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of National Fuel's stock price.

National Fuel Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in National Fuel's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards National. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of National Fuel stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
83.2113
Short Percent
0.0444
Short Ratio
6.5
Shares Short Prior Month
3.3 M
50 Day MA
81.0098

National Fuel Gas Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to National Fuel's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in National. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding National can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around National Fuel Gas. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of National Fuel's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about National Fuel.

National Fuel Implied Volatility

    
  0.4  
National Fuel's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of National Fuel Gas stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if National Fuel's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that National Fuel stock will not fluctuate a lot when National Fuel's options are near their expiration.

National Fuel after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 80.18  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of National Fuel to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, National Fuel's Fixed Asset Turnover is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The National Fuel's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.43, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 11.53. . The National Fuel's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 626.1 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to roughly 85.1 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 National Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast National Fuel's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in National Fuel's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for National Fuel stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current National Fuel's open interest, investors have to compare it to National Fuel's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of National Fuel is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in National. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

National Fuel Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine National price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National using various technical indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
National Fuel Gas has current Price Action Indicator of 0.035. Price Action indicator evaluates an asset for a given trading period using the following formula: ((close - open) + (close - high) + (close - low)) / 2. This indicator is consistent with the interpretation of Japanese candlestick patterns.
Check National Fuel VolatilityBacktest National FuelInformation Ratio  

National Fuel Trading Date Momentum

On January 02 2026 National Fuel Gas was traded for  80.10  at the closing time. Highest National Fuel's price during the trading hours was 80.70  and the lowest price during the day was  79.47 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 2nd of January did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.05% .
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
Compare National Fuel to competition

Other Forecasting Options for National Fuel

For every potential investor in National, whether a beginner or expert, National Fuel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. National Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in National. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying National Fuel's price trends.

National Fuel Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with National Fuel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of National Fuel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Fuel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

National Fuel Gas Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of National Fuel's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of National Fuel's current price.

National Fuel Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how National Fuel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading National Fuel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying National Fuel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify National Fuel Gas entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

National Fuel Risk Indicators

The analysis of National Fuel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in National Fuel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting national stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether National Fuel Gas is a strong investment it is important to analyze National Fuel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact National Fuel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding National Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of National Fuel to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Gas Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Fuel. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Fuel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.317
Dividend Share
2.1
Earnings Share
5.68
Revenue Per Share
25.166
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.253
The market value of National Fuel Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Fuel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Fuel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Fuel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Fuel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Fuel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Fuel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Fuel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.