Newmont Goldcorp Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| NEM Stock | USD 116.20 -0.01 -0.01% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.05 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.3329 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.16 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.826 | Wall Street Target Price 139.9085 |
Hype-based context for Newmont Goldcorp Corp connects recent headlines with price response and peer activity. This sentiment summary combines Newmont Goldcorp's options data with short interest context.
Short Interest Snapshot - Newmont Goldcorp
Short interest in Newmont Goldcorp is a useful contrarian indicator. Extreme levels of short interest can precede sharp short-covering rallies if positive news surprises the market.
200 Day MA 85.7466 | Short Percent 0.0271 | Short Ratio 2.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 21.6 M | 50 Day MA 117.2946 |
RSI Overview - Newmont
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Newmont Goldcorp Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 116.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 156.11.Hype and Price Pattern for Newmont Goldcorp Corp
Newmont Goldcorp's news sentiment aggregates headline tone and social media engagement to build a real-time gauge of investor psychology around Newmont. Sentiment extremes often precede price reversals.
The correlation between Newmont Goldcorp's news sentiment and price provides a measurable basis for market timing. A strong positive correlation suggests sentiment is currently driving price; a negative one may indicate a potential reversal.
Newmont Goldcorp Implied Volatility | 0.69 |
Unlike historical volatility, which measures past price movements, Newmont Goldcorp's implied volatility is a real-time gauge of how much uncertainty the options market is pricing into Newmont Goldcorp's future price action.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Newmont Goldcorp Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 116.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 156.11.Newmont Goldcorp after-hype prediction price | $ 116.21 |
This sentiment layer is designed to be read with forecasting, technical, analyst, earnings, and momentum context.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newmont Goldcorp to cross-verify projections for Newmont Goldcorp. The historical series provides projection context.Rule 16 for the current Newmont contract - Risk Context
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 0.0431% for the 2026-06-18 options. The figure is a neutral volatility reference; near $ 116.2, it implies about $ 0.0501 per day.
Open Interest vs. 2026-06-18 Newmont Options
The open interest view shows outstanding Newmont Goldcorp option contracts, providing context on participation and contract flow.
Newmont Goldcorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Newmont price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Newmont using various technical indicators. When you analyze Newmont charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Newmont Goldcorp Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Newmont Goldcorp Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 116.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.65 , mean absolute percentage error of 15.56 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 156.11 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Newmont Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Newmont Goldcorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Newmont Goldcorp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Newmont Goldcorp | Newmont Goldcorp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Newmont Goldcorp Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Newmont Goldcorp Corp uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Newmont Goldcorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Newmont Goldcorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.6632 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.6459 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0231 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 156.1077 |
Mean reversion in Newmont Goldcorp's price occurs when temporary dislocations - caused by sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks - correct back toward the stock's historical fair value.
Newmont Goldcorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Understanding Newmont Goldcorp's probability distribution helps investors calibrate position size to their risk tolerance. The tails of the Newmont Goldcorp distribution capture low-probability but high-impact outcomes that naive point estimates ignore.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Newmont Goldcorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Using Newmont Goldcorp's historical news impact data, we estimate the likely price corridor for the next trading session after a significant headline. Newmont Goldcorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 112.99 and 119.43, respectively. Note that past news reactions for Newmont Goldcorp are not guaranteed to repeat, particularly in novel market environments.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Newmont Goldcorp Corp assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Newmont Goldcorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Newmont Goldcorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Newmont Goldcorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Newmont Goldcorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 3.21 | 0.66 | 0.33 | 7 Events | 7 Events | In 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
116.20 | 116.21 | 0.00 |
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Newmont Goldcorp Hype Timeline
On the 12th of March 2026 Newmont Goldcorp Corp is traded for 116.20. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.66, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.33. Newmont is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 161.31%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Newmont Goldcorp is about 322.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 115.87. About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Newmont Goldcorp was now reported as 31.11. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.78. Newmont Goldcorp Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.24. The company last dividend was issued on the 3rd of March 2026. The firm completed a 5:4 stock split on 22nd of April 1994. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 7 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newmont Goldcorp to cross-verify projections for Newmont Goldcorp. The historical series provides projection context.Newmont Goldcorp Related Hype Analysis
Understanding how Newmont Goldcorp's direct competitors react to news events helps investors anticipate contagion effects and sector-wide sentiment shifts that may affect Newmont Goldcorp's performance.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AEM | Agnico Eagle Mines | -4.58 | 10 per month | 3.37 | 0.15 | 5.36 | -5.52 | 17.48 | |
| SHW | Sherwin Williams Co | -6.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 2.58 | -2.30 | 7.11 | |
| B | Barrick Mining | -0.49 | 9 per month | 3.79 | 0.08 | 3.73 | -4.74 | 16.40 | |
| GFI | Gold Fields Ltd | -0.53 | 9 per month | 4.36 | 0.1 | 6.28 | -6.36 | 23.45 | |
| CRH | CRH PLC ADR | 3.83 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 3.34 | -3.88 | 10.55 | |
| BHP | BHP Group Limited | -0.77 | 7 per month | 2.03 | 0.19 | 3.85 | -3.24 | 10.47 | |
| RIO | Rio Tinto ADR | -0.32 | 8 per month | 1.89 | 0.21 | 3.58 | -3.64 | 9.73 | |
| ECL | Ecolab Inc | -0.03 | 10 per month | 1.02 | 0.08 | 2.03 | -1.59 | 7.65 | |
| KGC | Kinross Gold | -1.17 | 8 per month | 3.90 | 0.1 | 5.74 | -5.25 | 22.41 | |
| SCCO | Southern Copper | 0.17 | 10 per month | 3.56 | 0.16 | 4.92 | -5.77 | 20.79 |
Other Forecasting Options for Newmont Goldcorp
The price movement of Newmont is a central concern for all potential investors, regardless of their level of expertise. Newmont Stock price charts can be difficult to interpret due to the noise present in the data.Newmont Goldcorp Related Equities
The following equities are related to Newmont Goldcorp within the Materials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Newmont Goldcorp against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Newmont Goldcorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Newmont Goldcorp stock help investors assess the relative momentum and resilience of the security in different market environments. By using these indicators, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell Newmont Goldcorp Corp.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 116.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 116.2 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.01 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.17 |
Newmont Goldcorp Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Newmont Goldcorp is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. By identifying the level of risk embedded in Newmont Goldcorp's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing and risk mitigation.
| Mean Deviation | 2.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.23 | |||
| Variance | 10.44 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.88 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.88 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.28 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Newmont Goldcorp
Coverage intensity for Newmont Goldcorp Corp matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Newmont Goldcorp Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Newmont Goldcorp Corp matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.6 B |
More Resources for Newmont Stock Analysis
A structured review of Newmont Goldcorp Corp often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Ratios and trend metrics help frame Newmont Goldcorp's operating context. Key reports that frame Newmont Goldcorp Corp Stock are listed below:Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newmont Goldcorp to cross-verify projections for Newmont Goldcorp. The historical series provides projection context. Analysis related to Newmont Goldcorp should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.05 | Dividend Share 1.01 | Earnings Share 6.24 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.206 |
The market value of Newmont Goldcorp Corp is measured differently than book value, which reflects Newmont accounting equity. Newmont Goldcorp's market capitalization is 126.82 B. With a P/B ratio of 3.82, the market values Newmont Goldcorp well above its book equity. Enterprise value stands at 126.7 B. Intrinsic value is an analytical estimate of Newmont Goldcorp's underlying worth that can differ from price and book value. Valuation methods help interpret those gaps.
Note that Newmont Goldcorp's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For Newmont Goldcorp, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 37.91, a P/B ratio of 3.82, a profit margin of 31.25%, and ROE of 22.34%. Market price reflects the current exchange level formed by active bids and offers.