NV Nederlandsche Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

NEDAP Stock  EUR 86.30  1.40  1.65%   
NEDAP Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast NV Nederlandsche stock prices and determine the direction of NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of NV Nederlandsche's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of NV Nederlandsche's share price is approaching 36. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling NV Nederlandsche, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 36

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of NV Nederlandsche's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting NV Nederlandsche's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.315
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.84
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.57
Wall Street Target Price
91
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.136
Using NV Nederlandsche hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek from the perspective of NV Nederlandsche response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek on the next trading day is expected to be 86.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.38.

NV Nederlandsche after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 86.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NV Nederlandsche to cross-verify your projections.

NV Nederlandsche Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine NEDAP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NEDAP using various technical indicators. When you analyze NEDAP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
NV Nederlandsche simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as NV Nederlandsche App prices get older.

NV Nederlandsche Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek on the next trading day is expected to be 86.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81, mean absolute percentage error of 1.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NEDAP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NV Nederlandsche's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NV Nederlandsche Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest NV Nederlandsche  NV Nederlandsche Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

NV Nederlandsche Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NV Nederlandsche's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NV Nederlandsche's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 84.99 and 87.51, respectively. We have considered NV Nederlandsche's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
86.30
86.25
Expected Value
87.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NV Nederlandsche stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NV Nederlandsche stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.2818
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1435
MADMean absolute deviation0.8095
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0091
SAESum of the absolute errors49.3785
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent NV Nederlandsche observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for NV Nederlandsche

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NV Nederlandsche App. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.2886.5487.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.6573.9194.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
36.2687.3189.86
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.990.990.99
Details

NV Nederlandsche After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of NV Nederlandsche at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NV Nederlandsche or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NV Nederlandsche, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

NV Nederlandsche Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting NV Nederlandsche's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NV Nederlandsche's historical news coverage. NV Nederlandsche's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 85.28 and 87.80, respectively. We have considered NV Nederlandsche's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
86.30
86.54
After-hype Price
87.80
Upside
NV Nederlandsche is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NV Nederlandsche App is based on 3 months time horizon.

NV Nederlandsche Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NV Nederlandsche is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NV Nederlandsche backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NV Nederlandsche, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
1.26
  0.24 
  0.01 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
86.30
86.54
0.28 
57.27  
Notes

NV Nederlandsche Hype Timeline

NV Nederlandsche App is now traded for 86.30on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. NEDAP is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 86.54 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 57.27%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on NV Nederlandsche is about 1200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 86.31. The company reported the revenue of 251.61 M. Net Income was 18.53 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 204.7 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NV Nederlandsche to cross-verify your projections.

NV Nederlandsche Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to NV Nederlandsche's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NV Nederlandsche's future price movements. Getting to know how NV Nederlandsche's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NV Nederlandsche may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TOM2TomTom NV(0.27)2 per month 2.87 (0.01) 3.57 (2.68) 23.00 
CTACCtac NV 0.05 1 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.32 (2.12) 9.00 
MTRKMotorK(0.01)3 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.37 (4.40) 12.21 
AZRNAzerion Group NV 0.01 1 per month 0.00 (0.34) 0.99 (2.78) 6.27 
CMCOMCM NV 0.48 2 per month 2.36  0  3.30 (2.97) 18.27 
TWEKATKH Group NV 0.58 1 per month 0.82 (0.02) 1.73 (1.52) 5.27 
NEDSENedSense Enterprises NV 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 8.89 (9.09) 58.63 
EAS2PEase2pay NV 0.00 3 per month 0.00 (0.14) 4.55 (4.35) 11.54 

Other Forecasting Options for NV Nederlandsche

For every potential investor in NEDAP, whether a beginner or expert, NV Nederlandsche's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NEDAP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NEDAP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NV Nederlandsche's price trends.

NV Nederlandsche Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NV Nederlandsche stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NV Nederlandsche could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NV Nederlandsche by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NV Nederlandsche Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NV Nederlandsche stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NV Nederlandsche shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NV Nederlandsche stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NV Nederlandsche Risk Indicators

The analysis of NV Nederlandsche's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NV Nederlandsche's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nedap stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for NV Nederlandsche

The number of cover stories for NV Nederlandsche depends on current market conditions and NV Nederlandsche's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NV Nederlandsche is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NV Nederlandsche's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

NV Nederlandsche Short Properties

NV Nederlandsche's future price predictability will typically decrease when NV Nederlandsche's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NV Nederlandsche's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NV Nederlandsche's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.4 M

Other Information on Investing in NEDAP Stock

NV Nederlandsche financial ratios help investors to determine whether NEDAP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NEDAP with respect to the benefits of owning NV Nederlandsche security.