Needham Aggressive Mutual Fund Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

NEAIX Fund  USD 60.78  0.71  1.15%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Needham Aggressive Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 60.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.23. Needham Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Needham Aggressive's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Needham Aggressive's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Needham Aggressive Growth, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Needham Aggressive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Needham Aggressive Growth from the perspective of Needham Aggressive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Needham Aggressive Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 60.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.23.

Needham Aggressive after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 60.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Needham Aggressive to cross-verify your projections.

Needham Aggressive Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Needham price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Needham using various technical indicators. When you analyze Needham charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Needham Aggressive - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Needham Aggressive prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Needham Aggressive price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Needham Aggressive Growth.

Needham Aggressive Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Needham Aggressive Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 60.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 0.95, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Needham Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Needham Aggressive's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Needham Aggressive Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Needham AggressiveNeedham Aggressive Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Needham Aggressive Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Needham Aggressive's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Needham Aggressive's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 59.18 and 62.25, respectively. We have considered Needham Aggressive's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
60.78
60.71
Expected Value
62.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Needham Aggressive mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Needham Aggressive mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1348
MADMean absolute deviation0.7665
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.013
SAESum of the absolute errors45.2254
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Needham Aggressive observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Needham Aggressive Growth observations.

Predictive Modules for Needham Aggressive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Needham Aggressive Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.2460.7862.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.9355.4766.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
58.6460.9163.18
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Needham Aggressive

For every potential investor in Needham, whether a beginner or expert, Needham Aggressive's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Needham Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Needham. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Needham Aggressive's price trends.

Needham Aggressive Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Needham Aggressive mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Needham Aggressive could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Needham Aggressive by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Needham Aggressive Growth Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Needham Aggressive's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Needham Aggressive's current price.

Needham Aggressive Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Needham Aggressive mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Needham Aggressive shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Needham Aggressive mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Needham Aggressive Growth entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Needham Aggressive Risk Indicators

The analysis of Needham Aggressive's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Needham Aggressive's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting needham mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Needham Mutual Fund

Needham Aggressive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Needham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Needham with respect to the benefits of owning Needham Aggressive security.
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