MasTec Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

MTZ Stock  USD 218.91  0.12  0.05%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MasTec Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 218.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 236.39. MasTec Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of MasTec's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of MasTec's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MasTec Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using MasTec hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MasTec Inc from the perspective of MasTec response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MasTec Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 218.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 236.39.

MasTec after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 218.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MasTec to cross-verify your projections.

MasTec Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MasTec price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MasTec using various technical indicators. When you analyze MasTec charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
MasTec simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for MasTec Inc are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as MasTec Inc prices get older.

MasTec Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MasTec Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 218.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.94, mean absolute percentage error of 29.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 236.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MasTec Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MasTec's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MasTec Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest MasTecMasTec Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

MasTec Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MasTec's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MasTec's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 216.43 and 221.39, respectively. We have considered MasTec's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
218.91
216.43
Downside
218.91
Expected Value
221.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MasTec stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MasTec stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.6429
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2392
MADMean absolute deviation3.9398
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0187
SAESum of the absolute errors236.39
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting MasTec Inc forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent MasTec observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for MasTec

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MasTec Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MasTec's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
216.44218.92221.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
210.11212.59240.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
197.44218.04238.65
Details

Other Forecasting Options for MasTec

For every potential investor in MasTec, whether a beginner or expert, MasTec's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MasTec Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MasTec. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MasTec's price trends.

MasTec Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MasTec stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MasTec could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MasTec by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MasTec Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MasTec's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MasTec's current price.

MasTec Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MasTec stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MasTec shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MasTec stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MasTec Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MasTec Risk Indicators

The analysis of MasTec's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MasTec's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mastec stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for MasTec Stock Analysis

When running MasTec's price analysis, check to measure MasTec's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MasTec is operating at the current time. Most of MasTec's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MasTec's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MasTec's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MasTec to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.