Minco Silver Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average
| MSV Stock | CAD 0.45 0.02 4.65% |
This reference view applies 8 Period Moving Average to Minco Silver's historical closing prices. Minco Silver's 8 Period Moving Average reference page summarizes the forecasted price and model accuracy metrics from daily trading data.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Minco Silver on the next trading day is expected to be 0.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.86.The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Minco Silver 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future. All forecast values on this page for Minco Silver are 8 Period Moving Average reference data derived from historical price series. 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Minco Silver on the next trading day is expected to be 0.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0018 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.86 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Minco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Minco Silver's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Minco Silver | Minco Silver Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Minco Silver focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The current forecast range spans downside near 0.0045 and upside near 4.92.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Minco Silver stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Minco Silver stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 97.0827 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0087 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0351 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0683 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.8587 |
Other Forecasting Options for Minco Silver
Volume-weighted price analysis for Minco Stock gives heavier weight to price levels where trading activity was highest. Crossovers in the MACD line and signal line can identify shifts in Minco momentum before they appear in raw price.Minco Silver Related Equities
These firms work in a similar space as Minco Silver within the Materials space and serve as useful points for comparison. Growth rate gaps between Minco Silver and its peers often explain pricing differences in the market. Firms that trade at big discounts to peers on core metrics may be worth more research. This type of review is most useful when done often to track how positions shift over time.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Minco Silver Market Strength Events
Evaluating the market strength of Minco Silver stock allows investors to gauge shifts in market momentum. Monitoring these indicators highlights periods where Minco Silver trading conditions shift meaningfully.
| Accumulation Distribution | 277.78 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 2.0 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.45 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.45 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.02 |
Minco Silver Risk Indicators
Understanding Minco Silver's risk indicators is essential for any investor seeking to forecast its future price accurately. By identifying how much risk is embedded in Minco Silver's investment, investors can decide how to position their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 4.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.42 | |||
| Variance | 55.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 30.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 18.75 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -6.03 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Minco Silver
Coverage intensity for Minco Silver matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
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Minco Silver Short Properties
A short-interest review of Minco Silver provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31.8 M |
More Resources for Minco Stock Analysis
Other Information on Investing in Minco Stock
Financial ratios represent how different financial values are linked for Minco Silver. All values are presented as reference data based on the latest available reporting.