Marathon Petroleum Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| MPC Stock | USD 203.00 7.17 3.66% |
Marathon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Marathon Petroleum stock prices and determine the direction of Marathon Petroleum Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Marathon Petroleum's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of Marathon Petroleum's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.51 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.1274 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.3006 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.269 | Wall Street Target Price 196.5556 |
Using Marathon Petroleum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marathon Petroleum Corp from the perspective of Marathon Petroleum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Marathon Petroleum using Marathon Petroleum's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Marathon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Marathon Petroleum's stock price.
Marathon Petroleum Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Marathon Petroleum's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Marathon. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Marathon Petroleum stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 174.5345 | Short Percent 0.0337 | Short Ratio 3.6 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.8 M | 50 Day MA 178.7558 |
Marathon Relative Strength Index
Marathon Petroleum Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Marathon Petroleum's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Marathon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Marathon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Marathon Petroleum Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Marathon Petroleum's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Marathon Petroleum.
Marathon Petroleum Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
Marathon Petroleum's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Marathon Petroleum Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Marathon Petroleum's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Marathon Petroleum stock will not fluctuate a lot when Marathon Petroleum's options are near their expiration.
Marathon Petroleum after-hype prediction price | USD 203.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marathon Petroleum to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Marathon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Marathon Petroleum Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Marathon Petroleum trading at USD 203.0, that is roughly USD 0.0571 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Marathon Petroleum's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Marathon Petroleum Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Marathon Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Marathon Petroleum's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Marathon Petroleum's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Marathon Petroleum stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Marathon Petroleum's open interest, investors have to compare it to Marathon Petroleum's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Marathon Petroleum is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Marathon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Marathon Petroleum Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Marathon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marathon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marathon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 46940.19 | 92878.71 |
| Check Marathon Petroleum Volatility | Backtest Marathon Petroleum | Information Ratio |
Marathon Petroleum Trading Date Momentum
| On February 06 2026 Marathon Petroleum Corp was traded for 203.00 at the closing time. Highest Marathon Petroleum's price during the trading hours was 204.37 and the lowest price during the day was 196.17 . The net volume was 2.3 M. The overall trading history on the 6th of February did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 3.06% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Marathon Petroleum to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Marathon Petroleum
For every potential investor in Marathon, whether a beginner or expert, Marathon Petroleum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Marathon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Marathon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Marathon Petroleum's price trends.Marathon Petroleum Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Marathon Petroleum stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Marathon Petroleum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marathon Petroleum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Marathon Petroleum Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Marathon Petroleum stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Marathon Petroleum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Marathon Petroleum stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Marathon Petroleum Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 92878.71 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8744 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 200.27 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 201.18 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 6.31 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 7.17 |
Marathon Petroleum Risk Indicators
The analysis of Marathon Petroleum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marathon Petroleum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marathon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Variance | 4.68 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.68) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Marathon Petroleum
The number of cover stories for Marathon Petroleum depends on current market conditions and Marathon Petroleum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Marathon Petroleum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Marathon Petroleum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marathon Petroleum to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could Marathon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marathon Petroleum. Expected growth trajectory for Marathon significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Marathon Petroleum data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.51 | Earnings Share 13.22 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Marathon Petroleum Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marathon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marathon Petroleum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marathon Petroleum's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Marathon Petroleum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marathon Petroleum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Marathon Petroleum's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Marathon Petroleum represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Marathon Petroleum's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.