MP Materials Stock Forward View - Relative Strength Index

MP Stock  USD 62.16  4.85  7.24%   
MP Materials Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although MP Materials' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of MP Materials' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of MP Materials fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength momentum indicator of MP Materials' share price is at 50. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling MP Materials, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of MP Materials' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MP Materials Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting MP Materials' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.56)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.0683
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.29)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.6285
Wall Street Target Price
79.0769
Using MP Materials hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MP Materials Corp from the perspective of MP Materials response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MP Materials using MP Materials' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MP Materials using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MP Materials' stock price.

MP Materials Short Interest

An investor who is long MP Materials may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about MP Materials and may potentially protect profits, hedge MP Materials with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
52.9673
Short Percent
0.1506
Short Ratio
3.2
Shares Short Prior Month
24.1 M
50 Day MA
59.4434

MP Materials Relative Strength Index

MP Materials Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to MP Materials' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in MP Materials. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding MP Materials can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around MP Materials Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of MP Materials' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about MP Materials.

MP Materials Implied Volatility

    
  0.82  
MP Materials' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MP Materials Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MP Materials' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MP Materials stock will not fluctuate a lot when MP Materials' options are near their expiration.

MP Materials after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 62.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MP Materials to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MP Materials contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MP Materials Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0513% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With MP Materials trading at USD 62.16, that is roughly USD 0.0319 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MP Materials' daily price movement you should consider acquiring MP Materials Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.82%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 MP Materials Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast MP Materials' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in MP Materials' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for MP Materials stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current MP Materials' open interest, investors have to compare it to MP Materials' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of MP Materials is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in MP Materials. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

MP Materials Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MP Materials price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MP Materials using various technical indicators. When you analyze MP Materials charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
MP Materials Corp has current Relative Strength Index of 50.1.
Check MP Materials VolatilityBacktest MP MaterialsInformation Ratio  

MP Materials Trading Date Momentum

On January 29 2026 MP Materials Corp was traded for  62.16  at the closing time. The highest price during the trading period was 65.20  and the lowest recorded bid was listed for  58.28 . The volume for the day was 17.2 M. This history from January 29, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to the current price is 4.33% .
Compare MP Materials to competition

Other Forecasting Options for MP Materials

For every potential investor in MP Materials, whether a beginner or expert, MP Materials' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MP Materials Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MP Materials. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MP Materials' price trends.

MP Materials Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MP Materials stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MP Materials could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MP Materials by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MP Materials Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MP Materials stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MP Materials shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MP Materials stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MP Materials Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MP Materials Risk Indicators

The analysis of MP Materials' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MP Materials' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mp materials stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for MP Materials

The number of cover stories for MP Materials depends on current market conditions and MP Materials' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MP Materials is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MP Materials' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

MP Materials Short Properties

MP Materials' future price predictability will typically decrease when MP Materials' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MP Materials Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MP Materials' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MP Materials' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding169.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments850.9 M

Additional Tools for MP Materials Stock Analysis

When running MP Materials' price analysis, check to measure MP Materials' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MP Materials is operating at the current time. Most of MP Materials' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MP Materials' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MP Materials' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MP Materials to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.