Morpho Crypto Coin Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MORPHO Crypto | USD 1.21 0.01 0.83% |
Morpho Crypto Coin outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Morpho crypto prices and determine the direction of Morpho's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Morpho's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the RSI of Morpho's share price is approaching 44. This indicates that the crypto coin is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Morpho, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Morpho hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Morpho from the perspective of Morpho response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Morpho on the next trading day is expected to be 1.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.79. Morpho after-hype prediction price | .CC 1.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as crypto price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Morpho |
Morpho Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Morpho price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Morpho using various technical indicators. When you analyze Morpho charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Morpho Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Morpho on the next trading day is expected to be 1.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Morpho Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Morpho's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Morpho Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern
Morpho Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Morpho's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Morpho's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.64, respectively. We have considered Morpho's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Morpho crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Morpho crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.656 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.008 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0457 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0331 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.79 |
Predictive Modules for Morpho
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Morpho. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Morpho After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Morpho at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Morpho or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Crypto Coin prices, such as prices of Morpho, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Morpho Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Morpho's crypto coin value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Morpho's historical news coverage. Morpho's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 6.22, respectively. We have considered Morpho's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Morpho is extremely risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Morpho is based on 3 months time horizon.
Morpho Crypto Coin Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Cryptocurrency such as Morpho is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Morpho backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Crypto price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Morpho, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 4.43 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.21 | 1.21 | 0.00 |
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Morpho Hype Timeline
Morpho is now traded for 1.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Morpho is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on Morpho is about 284312.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.21. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Morpho to cross-verify your projections.Morpho Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Morpho's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Morpho's future price movements. Getting to know how Morpho's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Morpho may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCD | Concordium | 0.0001 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 12.03 | (12.50) | 33.15 | |
| STETH | Staked Ether | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.45 | (6.27) | 20.42 | |
| EIGEN | EigenLayer | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 9.09 | (9.09) | 30.00 | |
| EOSDAC | EOSDAC | (0.000007) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.33 | (6.31) | 20.39 | |
| BLZ | BLZ | (0.0008) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 20.81 | (12.43) | 40.95 | |
| DIA | DIA | (0.0002) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 7.69 | (9.52) | 30.57 | |
| EM | EM | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Morpho
For every potential investor in Morpho, whether a beginner or expert, Morpho's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Morpho Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Morpho. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Morpho's price trends.Morpho Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Morpho crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Morpho could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Morpho by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Morpho Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Morpho crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Morpho shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Morpho crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify Morpho entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Morpho Risk Indicators
The analysis of Morpho's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Morpho's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting morpho crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.96 | |||
| Variance | 24.65 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Morpho
The number of cover stories for Morpho depends on current market conditions and Morpho's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Morpho is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Morpho's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Morpho to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.