Hello Stock Forecast - Value At Risk
| MOMO Stock | USD 6.91 0.06 0.86% |
Hello Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Hello's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Hello's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Hello fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Hello's share price is at 52. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hello, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.16) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.4167 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.5376 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.6021 | Wall Street Target Price 8.8879 |
Using Hello hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hello Group from the perspective of Hello response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hello using Hello's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hello using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hello's stock price.
Hello Implied Volatility | 1.11 |
Hello's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hello Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hello's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hello stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hello's options are near their expiration.
Hello after-hype prediction price | USD 6.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hello to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Hello contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Hello Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0694% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Hello trading at USD 6.91, that is roughly USD 0.004794 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Hello's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Hello Group options at the current volatility level of 1.11%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Hello Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hello's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hello's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hello stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hello's open interest, investors have to compare it to Hello's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hello is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hello. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Hello Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hello price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hello using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hello charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Hello Volatility | Backtest Hello | Information Ratio |
Hello Trading Date Momentum
| On January 22 2026 Hello Group was traded for 6.91 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 7.02 and the lowest listed price was 6.87 . The trading volume for the day was 1.1 M. The trading history from January 22, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 1.01% . |
| Compare Hello to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Hello
For every potential investor in Hello, whether a beginner or expert, Hello's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hello Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hello. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hello's price trends.Hello Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hello stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hello could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hello by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hello Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hello stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hello shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hello stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hello Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 24250.96 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.40) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 6.95 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 6.93 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 52.62 |
Hello Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hello's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hello's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hello stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Variance | 2.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Hello
The number of cover stories for Hello depends on current market conditions and Hello's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hello is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hello's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Hello Short Properties
Hello's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hello's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hello Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hello's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hello's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 186.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hello to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hello. If investors know Hello will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hello listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.16) | Earnings Share 0.61 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Hello Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hello that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hello's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hello's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hello's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hello's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hello's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hello is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hello's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.