Maui Land Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MLP Stock | USD 17.09 0.06 0.35% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Maui Land Pineapple on the next trading day is expected to be 17.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.15. Maui Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Maui Land's share price is at 54. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Maui Land, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Maui Land hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Maui Land Pineapple from the perspective of Maui Land response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Maui Land Pineapple on the next trading day is expected to be 17.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.15. Maui Land after-hype prediction price | USD 17.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Maui Land to cross-verify your projections. Maui Land Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Maui price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Maui using various technical indicators. When you analyze Maui charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Maui Land Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Maui Land Pineapple on the next trading day is expected to be 17.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Maui Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Maui Land's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Maui Land Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Maui Land | Maui Land Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Maui Land Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Maui Land's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Maui Land's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.46 and 19.92, respectively. We have considered Maui Land's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Maui Land stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Maui Land stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.743 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2605 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0165 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.1492 |
Predictive Modules for Maui Land
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maui Land Pineapple. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Maui Land After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Maui Land at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Maui Land or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Maui Land, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Maui Land Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Maui Land's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Maui Land's historical news coverage. Maui Land's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.87 and 19.31, respectively. We have considered Maui Land's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Maui Land is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Maui Land Pineapple is based on 3 months time horizon.
Maui Land Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Maui Land is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Maui Land backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Maui Land, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.23 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.09 | 17.09 | 0.00 |
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Maui Land Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Maui Land Pineapple is traded for 17.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Maui is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Maui Land is about 1905.98%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.11. About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.58. Maui Land Pineapple last dividend was issued on the 8th of March 2000. The entity had 4:1 split on the 1st of May 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Maui Land to cross-verify your projections.Maui Land Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Maui Land's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Maui Land's future price movements. Getting to know how Maui Land's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Maui Land may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SEG | Seaport Entertainment Group | 0.33 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.08 | (4.01) | 9.38 | |
| ARL | American Realty Investors | 0.38 | 8 per month | 2.03 | 0.03 | 5.32 | (3.77) | 13.37 | |
| LAND | Gladstone Land | 0.33 | 6 per month | 1.16 | 0.03 | 2.25 | (1.74) | 8.38 | |
| NEN | New England Realty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.26 | (2.46) | 6.28 | |
| OZ | Belpointe PREP LLC | (0.25) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.01 | (3.79) | 18.80 | |
| DOUG | Douglas Elliman | (0.25) | 14 per month | 2.91 | (0) | 5.75 | (5.44) | 18.54 | |
| BRT | BRT Realty Trust | (0.25) | 17 per month | 1.32 | (0.05) | 2.54 | (2.33) | 7.33 | |
| TCI | Transcontinental Realty Investors | 0.61 | 9 per month | 2.39 | 0.06 | 6.03 | (4.17) | 16.63 | |
| CIO | City Office | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.29 | (0.44) | 100.99 | |
| FVR | FrontView REIT | 0.26 | 8 per month | 1.56 | 0.1 | 2.86 | (1.97) | 9.54 |
Other Forecasting Options for Maui Land
For every potential investor in Maui, whether a beginner or expert, Maui Land's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Maui Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Maui. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Maui Land's price trends.Maui Land Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Maui Land stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Maui Land could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Maui Land by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Maui Land Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Maui Land stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Maui Land shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Maui Land stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Maui Land Pineapple entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Maui Land Risk Indicators
The analysis of Maui Land's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Maui Land's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting maui stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Variance | 4.92 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.92 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Maui Land
The number of cover stories for Maui Land depends on current market conditions and Maui Land's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Maui Land is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Maui Land's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Maui Land Short Properties
Maui Land's future price predictability will typically decrease when Maui Land's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Maui Land Pineapple often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Maui Land's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maui Land's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.5 M |
Additional Tools for Maui Stock Analysis
When running Maui Land's price analysis, check to measure Maui Land's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Maui Land is operating at the current time. Most of Maui Land's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Maui Land's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Maui Land's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Maui Land to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.