Malaga Financial Pink Sheet Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| MLGF Stock | USD 21.42 -0.18 -0.83% |
This page provides Triple Exponential Smoothing reference data for Malaga Financial, calculated from historical daily prices. The forecast output and associated deviation metrics are shown for informational use.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Malaga Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 21.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.44.As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Malaga Financial observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Malaga Financial observations. Malaga Financial's Triple Exponential Smoothing reference data is provided for informational and analytical purposes and does not constitute a trading recommendation. Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Malaga Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 21.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.09 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.44 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Malaga Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Malaga Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Malaga Financial | Malaga Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Malaga Financial focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Malaga Financial pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Malaga Financial pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0451 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.143 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0065 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.4355 |
Other Forecasting Options for Malaga Financial
The price movement of Malaga is a central concern for all potential investors, regardless of their level of expertise. Malaga Pink Sheet price charts can be difficult to interpret due to the noise present in the data.Malaga Financial Related Equities
The following equities are related to Malaga Financial within the Financials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Malaga Financial against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Malaga Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Malaga Financial pink sheet help investors assess the relative momentum and resilience of the security in different market environments. By using these indicators, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell Malaga Financial.
Malaga Financial Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Malaga Financial is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. By identifying the level of risk embedded in Malaga Financial's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing and risk mitigation.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6602 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Variance | 2.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.00 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Malaga Financial
A coverage review of Malaga Financial shows when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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Malaga Financial Short Properties
A short-interest review of Malaga Financial provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Dividends Paid | 7.7 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1 | |
| Shares Float | 3.7 M |
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Other Information on Investing in Malaga Pink Sheet
Financial ratios represent how different financial values are linked for Malaga Financial. They summarize how financial performance connects to valuation.