Missfresh Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MFLTY Stock | 0.0003 0.00 0.00% |
Missfresh Limited's Simple Exponential Smoothing forecast reference data is generated from the equity's historical trading prices. This page presents the model output and associated accuracy measures as reference information.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Missfresh Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000333 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002.This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Missfresh Limited forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Missfresh observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. The Simple Exponential Smoothing projections for Missfresh Limited are reference data based on historical daily prices and are provided as informational context. Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Missfresh Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000333 , mean absolute percentage error of 0 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Missfresh Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Missfresh's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Missfresh's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 0.000003 on the downside to about 25.00 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Missfresh pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Missfresh pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 95.1439 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0111 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.0E-4 |
Other Forecasting Options for Missfresh
The price trajectory of Missfresh is the primary concern for any investor assessing it as an opportunity. Missfresh Pink Sheet price charts are filled with noise that can easily mislead uninformed investment decisions.Missfresh Related Equities
The following equities are related to Missfresh within the Consumer Staples space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Missfresh against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Missfresh Market Strength Events
Understanding the market strength of Missfresh pink sheet enables investors to assess the security's momentum and responsiveness to broader market forces. These indicators are essential tools for timing trades in Missfresh Limited with greater precision.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 100.0 |
Missfresh Risk Indicators
Reviewing Missfresh's basic risk indicators is essential for investors who want to forecast its price and manage their investment risk effectively. This analysis helps identify the amount of risk involved in holding Missfresh's and informs decisions about hedging and position.
| Mean Deviation | 5.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 24.62 | |||
| Variance | 606.06 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Missfresh
Story coverage around Missfresh Limited often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Other Information on Investing in Missfresh Pink Sheet
These ratios describe connections between financial data points for Missfresh. This helps frame how profit and cash flow relate to overall value.