Mediobanca Banca Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MDIBY Stock | USD 18.22 -0.13 -0.71% |
Mediobanca Banca's Simple Exponential Smoothing reference data is generated by applying the model to available daily closing prices. The projected values and error metrics are presented below as reference information.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mediobanca Banca di on the next trading day is expected to be 18.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.99.This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Mediobanca Banca di forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Mediobanca Banca observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. The Simple Exponential Smoothing reference values for Mediobanca Banca are derived from publicly available price data and should be used for informational purposes only. Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mediobanca Banca di on the next trading day is expected to be 18.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.28 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.99 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mediobanca Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mediobanca Banca's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
Forecasting Mediobanca Banca di for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. At the moment, the model places downside around 15.71 and upside around 20.73 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mediobanca Banca pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mediobanca Banca pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.9821 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0325 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3998 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0193 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.99 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mediobanca Banca
For investors of all experience levels considering Mediobanca, understanding Mediobanca Banca's price movement is fundamental to making sound investment decisions. Mediobanca Pink Sheet price charts contain significant noise that can obscure meaningful trends.Mediobanca Banca Related Equities
The following equities are related to Mediobanca Banca within the Banks—Regional space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Mediobanca Banca against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mediobanca Banca Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Mediobanca Banca pink sheet provide investors with a framework for assessing how the security responds to changing market conditions. These indicators help determine optimal entry and exit points for trading Mediobanca Banca.
Mediobanca Banca Risk Indicators
Assessing Mediobanca Banca's risk indicators is a critical component of any rigorous approach to forecasting its future price. Understanding the risk involved in holding Mediobanca Banca's allows investors to make an informed decision about whether to accept or mitigate that exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Variance | 6.31 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mediobanca Banca
Coverage intensity for Mediobanca Banca di matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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Mediobanca Banca Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Mediobanca Banca di matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 843 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9 B |
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Mediobanca Banca financial ratios provide valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Mediobanca across valuation measures and peers.