Lyra Therapeutics Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

LYRA Stock  USD 3.36  0.02  0.59%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lyra Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 3.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.14. Lyra Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lyra Therapeutics stock prices and determine the direction of Lyra Therapeutics's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lyra Therapeutics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time The RSI of Lyra Therapeutics' share price is above 80 . This indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 94

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lyra Therapeutics' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lyra Therapeutics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lyra Therapeutics' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(4.06)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.50)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.99)
Wall Street Target Price
11.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(4.07)
Using Lyra Therapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lyra Therapeutics from the perspective of Lyra Therapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lyra Therapeutics using Lyra Therapeutics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lyra using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lyra Therapeutics' stock price.

Lyra Therapeutics Implied Volatility

    
  1.57  
Lyra Therapeutics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lyra Therapeutics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lyra Therapeutics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lyra Therapeutics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lyra Therapeutics' options are near their expiration.
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lyra Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 3.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.14.

Lyra Therapeutics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lyra Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Lyra Stock refer to our How to Trade Lyra Stock guide.The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 14.50, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 5.96. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 78.6 M, whereas Net Loss is projected to grow to (47.3 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-01-16 Lyra Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lyra Therapeutics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lyra Therapeutics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lyra Therapeutics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lyra Therapeutics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Lyra Therapeutics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lyra Therapeutics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lyra. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Lyra Therapeutics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lyra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lyra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lyra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Lyra Therapeutics is based on a synthetically constructed Lyra Therapeuticsdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Lyra Therapeutics 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lyra Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 3.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81, mean absolute percentage error of 1.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lyra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lyra Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lyra Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lyra TherapeuticsLyra Therapeutics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Lyra Therapeutics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lyra Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lyra Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 8.91, respectively. We have considered Lyra Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.36
3.62
Expected Value
8.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lyra Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lyra Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria81.4825
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.6764
MADMean absolute deviation0.8082
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2199
SAESum of the absolute errors33.136
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Lyra Therapeutics 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Lyra Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lyra Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.218.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.055.3810.71
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.4711.5012.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lyra Therapeutics

For every potential investor in Lyra, whether a beginner or expert, Lyra Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lyra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lyra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lyra Therapeutics' price trends.

Lyra Therapeutics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lyra Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lyra Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lyra Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lyra Therapeutics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lyra Therapeutics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lyra Therapeutics' current price.

Lyra Therapeutics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lyra Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lyra Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lyra Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lyra Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lyra Therapeutics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lyra Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lyra Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lyra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Lyra Therapeutics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Lyra Therapeutics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lyra Therapeutics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lyra Therapeutics Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lyra Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Lyra Stock refer to our How to Trade Lyra Stock guide.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lyra Therapeutics. If investors know Lyra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lyra Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(22.90)
Revenue Per Share
0.418
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.87)
Return On Assets
(0.33)
Return On Equity
(4.04)
The market value of Lyra Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lyra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lyra Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lyra Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lyra Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lyra Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lyra Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lyra Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lyra Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.