LTC Properties Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| LTC Stock | USD 36.78 0.26 0.71% |
LTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LTC Properties stock prices and determine the direction of LTC Properties's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LTC Properties' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of LTC Properties' stock price is about 62. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling LTC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.27) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4833 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.4755 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.91 | Wall Street Target Price 38.1429 |
Using LTC Properties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LTC Properties from the perspective of LTC Properties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards LTC Properties using LTC Properties' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards LTC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of LTC Properties' stock price.
LTC Properties Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in LTC Properties' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards LTC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of LTC Properties stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 35.4349 | Short Percent 0.0698 | Short Ratio 6.13 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 35.499 |
LTC Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LTC Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 36.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.80.LTC Properties Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to LTC Properties' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in LTC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding LTC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around LTC Properties. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of LTC Properties' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about LTC Properties.
LTC Properties Implied Volatility | 0.6 |
LTC Properties' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of LTC Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if LTC Properties' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that LTC Properties stock will not fluctuate a lot when LTC Properties' options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LTC Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 36.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.80. LTC Properties after-hype prediction price | USD 36.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LTC Properties to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current LTC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that LTC Properties will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0375% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With LTC Properties trading at USD 36.78, that is roughly USD 0.0138 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating LTC Properties' daily price movement you should consider acquiring LTC Properties options at the current volatility level of 0.6%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 LTC Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast LTC Properties' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in LTC Properties' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for LTC Properties stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current LTC Properties' open interest, investors have to compare it to LTC Properties' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of LTC Properties is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in LTC. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
LTC Properties Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LTC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LTC using various technical indicators. When you analyze LTC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
LTC Properties Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LTC Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 36.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LTC Properties' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
LTC Properties Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest LTC Properties | LTC Properties Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
LTC Properties Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting LTC Properties' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LTC Properties' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.96 and 37.76, respectively. We have considered LTC Properties' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LTC Properties stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LTC Properties stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0393 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2508 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0071 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.7964 |
Predictive Modules for LTC Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LTC Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LTC Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LTC Properties After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LTC Properties at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LTC Properties or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LTC Properties, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LTC Properties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LTC Properties' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LTC Properties' historical news coverage. LTC Properties' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.90 and 37.72, respectively. We have considered LTC Properties' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LTC Properties is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LTC Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.
LTC Properties Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LTC Properties is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LTC Properties backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LTC Properties, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 0.90 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
36.78 | 36.81 | 0.08 |
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LTC Properties Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January LTC Properties is traded for 36.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. LTC is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.81 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on LTC Properties is about 283.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.75. The company reported the last year's revenue of 209.85 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 94.88 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 182.05 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LTC Properties to cross-verify your projections.LTC Properties Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LTC Properties' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LTC Properties' future price movements. Getting to know how LTC Properties' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LTC Properties may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DX | Dynex Capital | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.49 | 0.15 | 1.89 | (1.08) | 3.57 | |
| EPR | EPR Properties | 0.43 | 9 per month | 1.50 | (0.06) | 1.90 | (1.60) | 6.05 | |
| DRH | Diamondrock Hospitality | 0.01 | 12 per month | 1.08 | 0.14 | 3.33 | (2.49) | 11.87 | |
| GTY | Getty Realty | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.82 | 0.04 | 2.15 | (1.46) | 4.59 | |
| SILA | Sila Realty Trust | (0.38) | 8 per month | 1.15 | (0.05) | 1.84 | (1.88) | 5.45 | |
| IIPR | Innovative Industrial Properties | (3.01) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.46 | (3.84) | 14.66 | |
| TRTX | TPG RE Finance | 0.06 | 6 per month | 1.07 | (0) | 1.47 | (1.65) | 6.00 | |
| GNL | Global Net Lease | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.78 | 0.18 | 2.49 | (1.68) | 8.05 | |
| PMT | PennyMac Mortgage Investment | 0.05 | 8 per month | 1.00 | 0.11 | 2.51 | (2.21) | 11.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for LTC Properties
For every potential investor in LTC, whether a beginner or expert, LTC Properties' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LTC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LTC Properties' price trends.LTC Properties Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LTC Properties stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LTC Properties could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LTC Properties by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
LTC Properties Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LTC Properties stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LTC Properties shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LTC Properties stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LTC Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
LTC Properties Risk Indicators
The analysis of LTC Properties' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LTC Properties' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ltc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7209 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9002 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9101 | |||
| Variance | 0.8283 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9865 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8104 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.78) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for LTC Properties
The number of cover stories for LTC Properties depends on current market conditions and LTC Properties' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LTC Properties is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LTC Properties' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LTC Properties Short Properties
LTC Properties' future price predictability will typically decrease when LTC Properties' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LTC Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LTC Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LTC Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LTC Properties to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade LTC Stock refer to our How to Trade LTC Stock guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LTC Properties. If investors know LTC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LTC Properties listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.27) | Dividend Share 2.28 | Earnings Share 0.72 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.331 |
The market value of LTC Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LTC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LTC Properties' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LTC Properties' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LTC Properties' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LTC Properties' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LTC Properties' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LTC Properties is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LTC Properties' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.