Lakeside Holding Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| LSH Stock | 0.97 -0.01 -1.02% |
The Simple Moving Average forecast shown here for Lakeside Holding is reference data produced from its historical price series. The projected value and error measures below serve as reference information.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Lakeside Holding Limited on the next trading day is projected to be 0.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.53.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Lakeside Holding Limited price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Lakeside Holding. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future This Simple Moving Average reference page for Lakeside Holding presents model-generated projections from historical price data for informational purposes. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Lakeside Holding Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.53 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lakeside Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lakeside Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Lakeside Holding Limited uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. No forecasting approach has been shown to beat all others over time. Investors should treat any model output as a guide, not a guarantee.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lakeside Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lakeside Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.4916 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0012 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0598 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0735 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lakeside Holding
The distribution of Lakeside Holding's daily returns is typically non-normal, with fatter tails than a Gaussian model predicts. This can reveal hidden support and resistance zones in Lakeside Holding's chart that simple price charts miss.Lakeside Holding Related Equities
Investors studying Lakeside Holding often look at related stocks within the Industrials space to gauge pricing and results. Key comparison metrics include price-to-earnings, profit margin, and revenue growth across Lakeside Holding's peer group. Investors should look for peers that steadily beat or lag Lakeside Holding across many periods. These links can also guide portfolio spreading choices within the sector.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lakeside Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Lakeside Holding give insight into the stock's responsiveness to broader forces. These indicators are useful for traders seeking optimal timing for positions in Lakeside Holding Limited.
Lakeside Holding Risk Indicators
A thorough review of Lakeside Holding's risk indicators is an important first step in forecasting its price. Quantifying the risk involved in Lakeside Holding's allows investors to make better decisions about entry, sizing, and hedging.
| Mean Deviation | 6.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.28 | |||
| Variance | 86.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 71.6 | |||
| Semi Variance | 50.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -7.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lakeside Holding
Coverage intensity for Lakeside Holding Limited matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Lakeside Holding Short Properties
A short-interest review of Lakeside Holding Limited provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 M |