Alliant Energy Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| LNT Stock | USD 67.19 0.18 0.27% |
Alliant Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Alliant Energy's share price is at 55. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Alliant Energy, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5279 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.2105 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.4239 | Wall Street Target Price 72.4546 |
Using Alliant Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alliant Energy Corp from the perspective of Alliant Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Alliant Energy using Alliant Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Alliant using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Alliant Energy's stock price.
Alliant Energy Short Interest
An investor who is long Alliant Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Alliant Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge Alliant Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 64.4461 | Short Percent 0.0871 | Short Ratio 10.94 | Shares Short Prior Month 19.6 M | 50 Day MA 66.3528 |
Alliant Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alliant Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 67.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.15.Alliant Energy Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Alliant Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Alliant. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alliant can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alliant Energy Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Alliant Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Alliant Energy.
Alliant Energy Implied Volatility | 0.36 |
Alliant Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alliant Energy Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alliant Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alliant Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alliant Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alliant Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 67.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.15. Alliant Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 67.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alliant Energy to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Alliant contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Alliant Energy Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0225% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Alliant Energy trading at USD 67.19, that is roughly USD 0.0151 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Alliant Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Alliant Energy Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Alliant Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Alliant Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Alliant Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Alliant Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Alliant Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Alliant Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Alliant Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Alliant. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Alliant Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alliant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alliant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alliant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Alliant Energy Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alliant Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 67.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alliant Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alliant Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Alliant Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Alliant Energy | Alliant Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Alliant Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Alliant Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alliant Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 66.37 and 68.01, respectively. We have considered Alliant Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alliant Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alliant Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.0738 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0015 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4192 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0063 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.15 |
Predictive Modules for Alliant Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alliant Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alliant Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alliant Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alliant Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alliant Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alliant Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alliant Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alliant Energy's historical news coverage. Alliant Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 66.19 and 67.83, respectively. We have considered Alliant Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alliant Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alliant Energy Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alliant Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alliant Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alliant Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alliant Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
67.19 | 67.01 | 0.00 |
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Alliant Energy Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January Alliant Energy Corp is traded for 67.19. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Alliant is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Alliant Energy is about 110.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 67.19. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Alliant Energy was now reported as 28.43. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.0. Alliant Energy Corp last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. The entity had 2:1 split on the 20th of May 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alliant Energy to cross-verify your projections.Alliant Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alliant Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alliant Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Alliant Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alliant Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EVRG | Evergy | (0.51) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.19 | (1.31) | 4.29 | |
| EMA | Emera Incorporated | 0.36 | 8 per month | 0.78 | (0.06) | 1.35 | (1.21) | 4.23 | |
| SBS | Companhia de Saneamento | 0.25 | 9 per month | 1.94 | 0.05 | 3.76 | (4.23) | 10.23 | |
| FRMI | Fermi Inc | (0.50) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 12.96 | (13.43) | 59.14 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | (0.44) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.27 | (1.56) | 5.00 | |
| KEP | Korea Electric Power | 0.30 | 7 per month | 2.35 | 0.13 | 6.12 | (4.09) | 18.59 | |
| NI | NiSource | 0.17 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.44 | (1.62) | 4.36 | |
| AQNB | Algonquin Power Utilities | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.11 | (0.16) | 0.40 | (0.39) | 1.25 | |
| EIX | Edison International | (0.74) | 8 per month | 1.43 | 0.02 | 1.97 | (1.80) | 6.38 | |
| OKLO | Oklo Inc | (6.35) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 8.42 | (11.94) | 30.72 |
Other Forecasting Options for Alliant Energy
For every potential investor in Alliant, whether a beginner or expert, Alliant Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alliant Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alliant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alliant Energy's price trends.Alliant Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alliant Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alliant Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alliant Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alliant Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alliant Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alliant Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alliant Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alliant Energy Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Alliant Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Alliant Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alliant Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alliant stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6126 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8092 | |||
| Variance | 0.6549 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Alliant Energy
The number of cover stories for Alliant Energy depends on current market conditions and Alliant Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alliant Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alliant Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Alliant Energy Short Properties
Alliant Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alliant Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alliant Energy Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alliant Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alliant Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 256.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 81 M |
Additional Tools for Alliant Stock Analysis
When running Alliant Energy's price analysis, check to measure Alliant Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alliant Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Alliant Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alliant Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alliant Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alliant Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.