Linamar Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| LNR Stock | CAD 81.68 -2.32 -2.76% |
The reference data on this page reflects Triple Exponential Smoothing output applied to Linamar's historical daily closing prices. Forecast values and accuracy statistics are presented for informational purposes.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Linamar on the next trading day is expected to be 80.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.90.As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Linamar observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Linamar observations. The forecast reference data presented here for Linamar reflects Triple Exponential Smoothing model output and is intended as reference material for analytical use. Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Linamar on the next trading day is expected to be 80.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.12 , mean absolute percentage error of 2.40 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.90 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Linamar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Linamar's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Linamar uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 78.79 on the downside to about 82.22 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Linamar stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Linamar stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.005 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1169 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0126 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 65.8985 |
Other Forecasting Options for Linamar
Understanding Linamar's price movement is a prerequisite for any investor considering Linamar as a position. Linamar Stock price charts are frequently cluttered with noise that can interfere with accurate interpretation.Linamar Related Equities
The following equities are related to Linamar within the Consumer Discretionary space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Linamar against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Linamar Market Strength Events
For traders and investors in Linamar, market strength indicators offer a quantitative framework for evaluating the stock's responsiveness to market conditions. These tools help identify when trading Linamar shares is most likely to generate favorable returns.
Linamar Risk Indicators
Analyzing Linamar's risk indicators provides a critical input for price forecasting and investment risk management. By quantifying the risk in Linamar's investment, investors can make more informed decisions about their exposure and hedging strategies.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Variance | 2.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Linamar
Story coverage around Linamar often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
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Linamar Short Properties
A short-interest review of Linamar provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 911.1 M |
More Resources for Linamar Stock Analysis
Other Information on Investing in Linamar Stock
Financial ratios highlight how financial values interact within Linamar. These metrics link profitability, liquidity, and valuation signals. The format ensures data can be compared on a consistent basis.