Lend Lease Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

LLESF Stock  USD 3.20  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lend Lease Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.44. Lend Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lend Lease's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Lend Lease's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lend Lease's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lend Lease and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lend Lease's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lend Lease Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Lend Lease hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lend Lease Group from the perspective of Lend Lease response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lend Lease Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.44.

Lend Lease after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lend Lease to cross-verify your projections.

Lend Lease Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lend price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lend using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lend charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Lend Lease is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Lend Lease Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Lend Lease Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lend Lease Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lend Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lend Lease's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lend Lease Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lend LeaseLend Lease Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Lend Lease Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lend Lease's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lend Lease's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.61 and 4.93, respectively. We have considered Lend Lease's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.20
3.27
Expected Value
4.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lend Lease pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lend Lease pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.6528
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.04
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0117
SAESum of the absolute errors2.4418
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Lend Lease Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Lend Lease. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Lend Lease

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lend Lease Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lend Lease's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.543.204.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.962.624.28
Details

Lend Lease After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lend Lease at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lend Lease or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Lend Lease, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lend Lease Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lend Lease's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lend Lease's historical news coverage. Lend Lease's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.54 and 4.86, respectively. We have considered Lend Lease's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.20
3.20
After-hype Price
4.86
Upside
Lend Lease is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lend Lease Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lend Lease Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lend Lease is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lend Lease backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lend Lease, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
1.66
  0.52 
  0.06 
8 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.20
3.20
0.00 
79.81  
Notes

Lend Lease Hype Timeline

Lend Lease Group is now traded for 3.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.52, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Lend is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 79.81%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lend Lease is about 697.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.26. About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.74. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lend Lease Group recorded a loss per share of 0.24. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of August 2022. The firm had 8821:8522 split on the 17th of May 2010. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lend Lease to cross-verify your projections.

Lend Lease Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lend Lease's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lend Lease's future price movements. Getting to know how Lend Lease's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lend Lease may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HNLGYHang Lung Group 0.1 2 per month 0.00  0.01  2.96 (1.12) 20.46 
HUFAFHufvudstaden AB 2.08 6 per month 0.00 (0.11) 0.00  0.00  4.83 
HNLGFHang Lung Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.02  0.00  0.00  7.87 
FSRPFFrasers Property Limited 0.1 2 per month 0.00 (0.03) 0.00  0.00  6.33 
NWWDFNew World Development 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  0.00  0.00  2.08 
UILCFSingapore Land Group 0.1 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CTRGFCountry Garden Services 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NDVLYNew World Development 0.00 0 per month 4.91  0.08  11.43 (9.30) 39.74 
ATTRFAscott Residence Trust 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.70) 0.00  0.00  1.47 
VGPBFVGP NV 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 0.34  0.00  4.30 

Other Forecasting Options for Lend Lease

For every potential investor in Lend, whether a beginner or expert, Lend Lease's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lend Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lend. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lend Lease's price trends.

Lend Lease Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lend Lease pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lend Lease could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lend Lease by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lend Lease Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lend Lease pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lend Lease shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lend Lease pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Lend Lease Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lend Lease Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lend Lease's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lend Lease's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lend pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Lend Lease

The number of cover stories for Lend Lease depends on current market conditions and Lend Lease's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lend Lease is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lend Lease's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Lend Pink Sheet

Lend Lease financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lend Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lend with respect to the benefits of owning Lend Lease security.