LG Display Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

LGA Stock  EUR 3.26  0.10  2.98%   
LGA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of LG Display's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of LG Display's share price is approaching 34. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling LG Display, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 34

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of LG Display's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of LG Display and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from LG Display's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LG Display Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting LG Display's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.76)
Wall Street Target Price
15
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
Using LG Display hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LG Display Co from the perspective of LG Display response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LG Display Co on the next trading day is expected to be 3.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.81.

LG Display after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 3.26  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LG Display to cross-verify your projections.

LG Display Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LGA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LGA using various technical indicators. When you analyze LGA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for LG Display - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When LG Display prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in LG Display price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of LG Display.

LG Display Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LG Display Co on the next trading day is expected to be 3.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LGA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LG Display's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LG Display Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest LG Display  LG Display Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

LG Display Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LG Display's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LG Display's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.09 and 5.27, respectively. We have considered LG Display's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.26
3.18
Expected Value
5.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LG Display stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LG Display stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0057
MADMean absolute deviation0.0647
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0176
SAESum of the absolute errors3.8144
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past LG Display observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older LG Display Co observations.

Predictive Modules for LG Display

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LG Display. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.183.265.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.592.674.75
Details

LG Display After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of LG Display at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LG Display or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LG Display, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

LG Display Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting LG Display's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LG Display's historical news coverage. LG Display's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.18 and 5.34, respectively. We have considered LG Display's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.26
3.26
After-hype Price
5.34
Upside
LG Display is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LG Display is based on 3 months time horizon.

LG Display Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LG Display is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LG Display backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LG Display, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.37 
2.09
  0.01 
  0.07 
8 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.26
3.26
0.00 
10,450  
Notes

LG Display Hype Timeline

LG Display is now traded for 3.26on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. LGA is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on LG Display is about 1091.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.33. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.91. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. LG Display last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LG Display to cross-verify your projections.

LG Display Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to LG Display's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LG Display's future price movements. Getting to know how LG Display's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LG Display may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for LG Display

For every potential investor in LGA, whether a beginner or expert, LG Display's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LGA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LGA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LG Display's price trends.

LG Display Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LG Display stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LG Display could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LG Display by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LG Display Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LG Display stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LG Display shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LG Display stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LG Display Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LG Display Risk Indicators

The analysis of LG Display's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LG Display's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lga stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for LG Display

The number of cover stories for LG Display depends on current market conditions and LG Display's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LG Display is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LG Display's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether LG Display is a strong investment it is important to analyze LG Display's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact LG Display's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding LGA Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LG Display to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Understanding that LG Display's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether LG Display represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, LG Display's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.