Kinaxis Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| KXS Stock | CAD 135.43 0.41 0.30% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.522 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.0139 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.2488 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.0722 | Wall Street Target Price 207.7519 |
This section relates Kinaxis headline activity to recent price behavior and peer context.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Kinaxis on the next trading day is expected to be 153.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 264.84.Kinaxis after-hype prediction price | C$ 133.86 |
This module presents attention signals alongside forecasting, technical analysis, analyst consensus, and earnings.
Kinaxis |
Kinaxis Additional Predictive Modules
Forecasting Kinaxis's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. Forward estimates should be treated as probability-weighted scenarios rather than point predictions.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Kinaxis on the next trading day is expected to be 153.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.27 , mean absolute percentage error of 33.75 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 264.84 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kinaxis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kinaxis' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kinaxis | Kinaxis Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Kinaxis focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The current forecast range spans downside near 150.79 and upside near 155.75.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kinaxis stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kinaxis stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.4675 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.2716 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.03 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 264.8404 |
Mean reversion in Kinaxis is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Investors who rely solely on expected value estimates for Kinaxis miss the full picture. Kinaxis' probability distribution reveals that expected value can be achieved through very different combinations of outcomes, each with different risk implications.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The after-news price analysis for Kinaxis is built on the observation that Kinaxis' market reactions to news are not random but follow recognizable patterns. Kinaxis' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 131.38 and 136.34, respectively. Identifying and quantifying these patterns for Kinaxis is the core purpose of this model.
Current Value
This after-hype projection for Kinaxis uses a 3 months horizon to examine how price may behave after short-term sentiment effects dissipate. Used correctly, the estimate adds context around potential normalization rather than promising a specific realized outcome.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kinaxis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kinaxis backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kinaxis, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 2.48 | 1.57 | 0.06 | 7 Events | 2 Events | In 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
135.43 | 133.86 | 1.16 |
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Hype Timeline
Kinaxis is now traded for 135.43on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The company has historical hype elasticity of -1.57, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Kinaxis is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 133.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 63.27%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -1.16%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Kinaxis is about 1574.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 135.37. About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.82. Kinaxis had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 7 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kinaxis provides a cross-check on projections for Kinaxis. The historical series provides projection context.Related Hype Analysis
The information ratio and semi-deviation metrics in the peer comparison table for Kinaxis provide a risk-adjusted view of how efficiently Kinaxis' competitors convert news exposure into returns relative to downside risk.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BB | BlackBerry | -0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.16 | 3.00 | -3.51 | 17.17 | |
| LSPD | Lightspeed Commerce | -0.09 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.15 | 2.66 | -4.76 | 14.57 | |
| TCS | TECSYS Inc | -0.58 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 4.16 | -4.27 | 19.32 | |
| LMN | Lumine Group | -0.26 | 2 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 4.56 | -3.82 | 23.74 | |
| DCBO | Docebo Inc | 0.1 | 2 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 5.00 | -3.76 | 33.26 | |
| ENGH | Enghouse Systems | -0.20 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.16 | 1.73 | -2.02 | 18.62 | |
| IMP | Intermap Technologies Corp | -0.10 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.24 | 3.91 | -5.26 | 19.83 | |
| THNC | Thinkific Labs | -0.08 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 5.17 | -6.09 | 16.79 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kinaxis
For investors considering Kinaxis, Kinaxis' price movement is the most direct driver of investment returns. Noise in Kinaxis Stock price charts can make identifying meaningful trends difficult without dedicated analytical tools.Kinaxis Related Equities
The following equities are related to Kinaxis within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Kinaxis against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kinaxis Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Kinaxis provide investors with a view of how the stock performs across different market environments. By analyzing these indicators, traders can determine the best moments to enter or exit positions in Kinaxis.
| Accumulation Distribution | 954.1 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1925 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 136.07 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 135.85 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.43 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.41 |
Kinaxis Risk Indicators
A structured analysis of Kinaxis' risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve the accuracy of price forecasts. Understanding the risk embedded in Kinaxis' allows investors to decide whether to accept, reduce, or hedge their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.39 | |||
| Variance | 5.71 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kinaxis
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Kinaxis can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.
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Kinaxis Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Kinaxis is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 324.1 M |
More Resources for Kinaxis Stock Analysis
Other Information on Investing in Kinaxis Stock
Financial ratios for Kinaxis help frame valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Kinaxis to other measures in a consistent way.