Kronos Worldwide Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| KRO Stock | USD 5.16 0.25 5.09% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.248 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter -0.12 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0671 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4869 | Wall Street Target Price 5.5 |
This view relates Kronos Worldwide's headline activity to recent price response context. Options and short interest provide context for sentiment around Kronos Worldwide in this section.
For a complete overview, review Dividend Yield and Price To Sales Ratio.
Kronos Worldwide Implied Volatility | 1.34 |
Implied volatility in Kronos Worldwide's options does not predict direction - it measures magnitude. An investor expecting a large move in Kronos Worldwide stock in either direction may benefit from strategies that profit from volatility expansion.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kronos Worldwide on the next trading day is expected to be 5.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.91.Kronos Worldwide after-hype prediction price | $ 5.16 |
The sentiment view is a companion to forecasting, technical studies, analyst estimates, and earnings trends.
Cross-verify projections for Kronos Worldwide using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kronos Worldwide. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Open Interest Map for Kronos Options 2026-05-15
The open interest measure summarizes active contracts for Kronos Worldwide and can be paired with trend context.
Kronos Worldwide Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kronos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kronos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kronos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kronos Worldwide on the next trading day is expected to be 5.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.91 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kronos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kronos Worldwide's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kronos Worldwide | Kronos Worldwide Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Kronos Worldwide uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kronos Worldwide stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kronos Worldwide stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.8356 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0055 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1485 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0272 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.91 |
Experienced Kronos Worldwide's investors use mean reversion as a complement to momentum analysis: momentum identifies the trend; mean reversion identifies when that trend has extended beyond sustainable levels.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
This probability distribution for Kronos Worldwide is built from Monte Carlo simulations that incorporate Kronos Worldwide's historical volatility, mean reversion tendencies, and jump risk. The resulting distribution captures a broader range of Kronos Worldwide outcomes than simple linear.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The boundaries derived from Kronos Worldwide's historical news analysis represent the range within which Kronos Worldwide's price has typically settled after comparable headline events. Kronos Worldwide's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.92 and 8.40, respectively. Outcomes outside these boundaries are less common but not rare for Kronos Worldwide.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Kronos Worldwide assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kronos Worldwide is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kronos Worldwide backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kronos Worldwide, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 3.24 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 7 Events | 4 Events | In 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.16 | 5.16 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
On the 13th of March 2026 Kronos Worldwide is traded for 5.16. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Kronos is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kronos Worldwide is about 3028.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.17. About 81.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.7. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kronos Worldwide has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.36. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.35. The firm last dividend was issued on the 10th of March 2026. Kronos Worldwide completed a 2:1 stock split on 23rd of May 2011. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in 7 days. Cross-verify projections for Kronos Worldwide using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kronos Worldwide. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Related Hype Analysis
Understanding Kronos Worldwide's position within its competitive set helps investors assess whether news affecting a peer is a headwind or tailwind for Kronos Worldwide. This distinction requires knowledge of the competitive dynamics specific to Kronos Worldwide's industry.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GEVO | Gevo Inc | -0.05 | 6 per month | 3.09 | 0.05 | 6.22 | -5.80 | 16.93 | |
| TROX | Tronox Holdings PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.67 | 0.19 | 8.02 | -7.30 | 21.73 | |
| ASIX | AdvanSix | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.06 | 0.17 | 5.26 | -3.92 | 12.37 | |
| CPAC | Cementos Pacasmayo SAA | -0.63 | 8 per month | 1.65 | 0.12 | 3.40 | -3.42 | 57.41 | |
| LXU | Lsb Industries | -0.08 | 7 per month | 1.66 | 0.25 | 7.21 | -3.41 | 18.58 | |
| KOP | Koppers Holdings | 0.53 | 8 per month | 1.40 | 0.24 | 3.57 | -3.17 | 11.53 | |
| MATV | Mativ Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.16 | 3.37 | -5.06 | 20.96 | |
| GPRE | Green Plains Renewable | 0.44 | 7 per month | 2.88 | 0.26 | 5.84 | -4.21 | 19.59 | |
| VHI | Valhi Inc | 0.86 | 9 per month | 2.85 | 0.06 | 6.03 | -4.58 | 19.23 | |
| ADUR | Aduro Clean Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 10.69 | -7.07 | 21.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kronos Worldwide
Understanding Kronos Worldwide's price movement is a prerequisite for any investor considering Kronos as a position. Kronos Stock price charts are frequently cluttered with noise that can interfere with accurate interpretation.Kronos Worldwide Related Equities
The following equities are related to Kronos Worldwide within the Materials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Kronos Worldwide against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kronos Worldwide Market Strength Events
For traders and investors in Kronos Worldwide, market strength indicators offer a quantitative framework for evaluating the stock's responsiveness to market conditions. These tools help identify when trading Kronos Worldwide shares is most likely to generate favorable returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 19655.41 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.041667 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.14 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.15 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.15 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.25 |
Kronos Worldwide Risk Indicators
Analyzing Kronos Worldwide's risk indicators provides a critical input for price forecasting and investment risk management. By quantifying the risk in Kronos Worldwide's investment, investors can make more informed decisions about their exposure and hedging strategies.
| Mean Deviation | 2.78 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.76 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.33 | |||
| Variance | 11.09 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.36 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.59 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -3.33 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kronos Worldwide
Coverage intensity for Kronos Worldwide matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Kronos Worldwide Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Kronos Worldwide matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 115 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -23 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.2 | |
| Shares Float | 21.5 M |
More Resources for Kronos Stock Analysis
Reviewing Kronos Worldwide commonly begins with financial statements and performance trends. Financial ratios provide context for profitability, efficiency, and growth trends. Selected reports below provide context for Kronos Stock:Cross-verify projections for Kronos Worldwide using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kronos Worldwide. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion. Our How to Buy Kronos Stock guide explains the steps to invest in Kronos Worldwide stock.Analysis related to Kronos Worldwide should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.248 | Dividend Share 0.2 | Earnings Share -0.35 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth -0.01 |
Investors evaluate Kronos Worldwide using market value and book value, each describing different facets of the business. Kronos Worldwide's market capitalization is 593.67 M. A P/B ratio of 0.7 suggests Kronos Worldwide trades near or below book value. Enterprise value stands at 1.18 B. The intrinsic value concept focuses on underlying worth, which can diverge from market price and book value. Valuation work aligns these measures into a single context.
The concept of value for Kronos Worldwide differs from its quoted price, since each reflects a different lens. For Kronos Worldwide, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 17.4, a P/B ratio of 0.7, a profit margin of -5.96%, and ROE of -14.15%. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.