KKR Real Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

KREF Stock  USD 8.22  0.01  0.12%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of KKR Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 8.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.33. KKR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of KKR Real's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of January 2026 the rsi of KKR Real's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of KKR Real's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of KKR Real and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from KKR Real's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with KKR Real Estate, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting KKR Real's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.64)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2267
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.302
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.65
Wall Street Target Price
10.25
Using KKR Real hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KKR Real Estate from the perspective of KKR Real response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards KKR Real using KKR Real's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards KKR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of KKR Real's stock price.

KKR Real Implied Volatility

    
  1.16  
KKR Real's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of KKR Real Estate stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if KKR Real's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that KKR Real stock will not fluctuate a lot when KKR Real's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of KKR Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 8.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.33.

KKR Real after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.22  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KKR Real to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, KKR Real's Receivables Turnover is most likely to slightly grow in the upcoming years. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 58.2 M. The current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to decrease to about 16.8 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 KKR Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast KKR Real's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in KKR Real's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for KKR Real stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current KKR Real's open interest, investors have to compare it to KKR Real's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of KKR Real is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in KKR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

KKR Real Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine KKR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KKR using various technical indicators. When you analyze KKR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

KKR Real Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the KKR Real's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2015-12-31
Previous Quarter
107.7 M
Current Value
204.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
85.9 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for KKR Real is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of KKR Real Estate value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

KKR Real Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of KKR Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 8.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KKR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KKR Real's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

KKR Real Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest KKR RealKKR Real Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

KKR Real Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting KKR Real's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KKR Real's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.90 and 9.63, respectively. We have considered KKR Real's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.22
8.26
Expected Value
9.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KKR Real stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KKR Real stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.0303
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1038
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0127
SAESum of the absolute errors6.3339
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of KKR Real Estate. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict KKR Real. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for KKR Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KKR Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KKR Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.758.229.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.156.629.04
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.3310.2511.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for KKR Real

For every potential investor in KKR, whether a beginner or expert, KKR Real's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KKR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KKR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KKR Real's price trends.

KKR Real Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KKR Real stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KKR Real could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KKR Real by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

KKR Real Estate Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of KKR Real's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of KKR Real's current price.

KKR Real Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KKR Real stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KKR Real shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KKR Real stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KKR Real Estate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

KKR Real Risk Indicators

The analysis of KKR Real's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KKR Real's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kkr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether KKR Real Estate is a strong investment it is important to analyze KKR Real's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact KKR Real's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding KKR Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KKR Real to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of KKR Real. If investors know KKR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about KKR Real listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.64)
Dividend Share
1
Earnings Share
(0.35)
Revenue Per Share
0.915
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.451
The market value of KKR Real Estate is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KKR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KKR Real's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KKR Real's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KKR Real's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KKR Real's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KKR Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KKR Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KKR Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.