Kelso Technologies Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

KLS Stock  CAD 0.14  -0.03  -17.65%   
This page provides reference data for Kelso Technologies using Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting. The projected value and error metrics are calculated from available daily price observations.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kelso Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.38.As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Kelso Technologies observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Kelso Technologies observations. This Triple Exponential Smoothing reference page for Kelso Technologies presents model-generated projections from historical price data for informational purposes.
Triple exponential smoothing for Kelso Technologies - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Kelso Technologies prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Kelso Technologies price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Kelso Technologies.

Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kelso Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.000066 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.38 .
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kelso Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kelso Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stock Forecast Pattern

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Forecasted Value

Forecasting Kelso Technologies for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Market Value
0.14
0.0014
Downside
0.15
Expected Value
4.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kelso Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kelso Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0014
MADMean absolute deviation0.0065
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0362
SAESum of the absolute errors0.3832
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Kelso Technologies observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Kelso Technologies observations.

Other Forecasting Options for Kelso Technologies

For investors considering Kelso, Kelso Technologies' price movement is the most direct driver of investment returns. Noise in Kelso Stock price charts can make identifying meaningful trends difficult without dedicated analytical tools.

Kelso Technologies Related Equities

The following equities are related to Kelso Technologies within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Kelso Technologies against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kelso Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for Kelso Technologies provide investors with a view of how the stock performs across different market environments. By analyzing these indicators, traders can determine the best moments to enter or exit positions in Kelso Technologies.

Kelso Technologies Risk Indicators

A structured analysis of Kelso Technologies' risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve the accuracy of price forecasts. Understanding the risk embedded in Kelso Technologies' allows investors to decide whether to accept, reduce, or hedge their exposure.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Kelso Technologies

Coverage intensity for Kelso Technologies matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.

Kelso Technologies Short Properties

A short-interest review of Kelso Technologies provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding54.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments153.1 K

More Resources for Kelso Stock Analysis

Other Information on Investing in Kelso Stock

At Kelso Technologies, financial ratios outline links between core financial data. They outline how earnings and cash flow connect to company value. It keeps financial comparisons aligned across time frames. Values are aligned with the most recent reporting period available to us.