Kitron ASA Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

KIT Stock  NOK 81.70  3.30  4.21%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kitron ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 72.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 306.61. Kitron Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Kitron ASA's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kitron ASA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kitron ASA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kitron ASA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kitron ASA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Kitron ASA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kitron ASA from the perspective of Kitron ASA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kitron ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 72.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 306.61.

Kitron ASA after-hype prediction price

    
  NOK 81.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kitron ASA to cross-verify your projections.

Kitron ASA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kitron price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kitron using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kitron charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Kitron ASA price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Kitron ASA Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Kitron ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 72.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.03, mean absolute percentage error of 33.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 306.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kitron Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kitron ASA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kitron ASA Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kitron ASAKitron ASA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Kitron ASA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kitron ASA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kitron ASA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 70.35 and 75.64, respectively. We have considered Kitron ASA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
81.70
72.99
Expected Value
75.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kitron ASA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kitron ASA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.634
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.0264
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0739
SAESum of the absolute errors306.6075
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Kitron ASA historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Kitron ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kitron ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
79.0681.7084.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.9963.6389.87
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kitron ASA

For every potential investor in Kitron, whether a beginner or expert, Kitron ASA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kitron Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kitron. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kitron ASA's price trends.

Kitron ASA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kitron ASA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kitron ASA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kitron ASA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kitron ASA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kitron ASA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kitron ASA's current price.

Kitron ASA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kitron ASA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kitron ASA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kitron ASA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kitron ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kitron ASA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kitron ASA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kitron ASA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kitron stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Kitron Stock

Kitron ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kitron Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kitron with respect to the benefits of owning Kitron ASA security.