KraneShares Bosera Etf Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| KBA Etf | USD 29.76 -0.37 -1.23% |
KraneShares Bosera's Double Exponential Smoothing reference data is generated by applying the model to available daily closing prices. The projected values and error metrics are presented below as reference information.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KraneShares Bosera MSCI on the next trading day is expected to be 29.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.83.When KraneShares Bosera MSCI prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any KraneShares Bosera MSCI trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent KraneShares Bosera observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. The Double Exponential Smoothing reference values for KraneShares Bosera are derived from publicly available price data and should be used for informational purposes only. Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KraneShares Bosera MSCI on the next trading day is expected to be 29.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.08 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.83 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KraneShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KraneShares Bosera's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Etf Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates KraneShares Bosera's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KraneShares Bosera etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KraneShares Bosera etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0522 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2344 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0076 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.8285 |
Other Forecasting Options for KraneShares Bosera
For investors of all experience levels considering KraneShares, understanding KraneShares Bosera's price movement is fundamental to making sound investment decisions. KraneShares Etf price charts contain significant noise that can obscure meaningful trends.KraneShares Bosera Related Equities
The following equities are related to KraneShares Bosera within the China Region space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing KraneShares Bosera against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
KraneShares Bosera Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for KraneShares Bosera etf provide investors with a framework for assessing how the security responds to changing market conditions. These indicators help determine optimal entry and exit points for trading KraneShares Bosera.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 29.76 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 29.76 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.18 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.37 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 43.06 |
KraneShares Bosera Risk Indicators
Assessing KraneShares Bosera's risk indicators is a critical component of any rigorous approach to forecasting its future price. Understanding the risk involved in holding KraneShares Bosera's allows investors to make an informed decision about whether to accept or mitigate that exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7111 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9402 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.882 | |||
| Variance | 0.7779 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9498 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8839 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for KraneShares Bosera
Coverage intensity for KraneShares Bosera MSCI matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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More Resources for KraneShares Etf Analysis
A full view of KraneShares Bosera MSCI is built from its financial statements and trend data. Financial ratios summarize performance across earnings and efficiency. The data reflects KraneShares Bosera's reported financial activity across periods.Historical Fundamental Analysis of KraneShares Bosera can be used to cross-verify projections for KraneShares Bosera. The view provides historical context for the projection set. KraneShares Bosera currently shows P/E of 16.17. KraneShares Bosera data on this page supports broader research - the resources below add portfolio-level context. A thorough KraneShares Bosera review pairs this page with the quantitative and comparative resources listed below. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
The market value of KraneShares Bosera MSCI is measured differently than book value, which reflects KraneShares accounting equity. A P/B ratio of 1.91 indicates the market values KraneShares Bosera above its accounting book value. Intrinsic value for KraneShares Bosera synthesizes operating data into a single estimate that complements price and book value. Reconciling these perspectives is central to structured valuation analysis.
Understanding KraneShares Bosera involves recognizing that value and price can reflect different time horizons. For KraneShares Bosera, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 16.17, and a P/B ratio of 1.91.