Jones Lang Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

JLL Stock  USD 299.29  5.10  1.73%   
At this point in time, the RSI oscillator for Jones Lang is 0, signaling extreme oversold conditions. Historically, RSI levels this depressed have preceded relief bounces, though the magnitude and duration vary widely.
Momentum
Sell Peaked
 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Predicting where Jones Lang's stock will trade is more achievable when sentiment data complements traditional analysis. This module isolates the sentiment-driven component of price to highlight potential mispricings. Fundamental inputs for Jones Lang's price forecast:
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.681
 EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.9104
 EPS Estimate Current Year
21.9032
 EPS Estimate Next Year
24.6323
 Wall Street Target Price
379.2
This section provides headline-driven context for Jones Lang LaSalle alongside peer activity. The sentiment layer reflects Jones Lang's options activity and short interest context.

Jones Lang Short Interest View

A sudden spike in Jones Lang's short interest may indicate that institutional investors have identified specific risks - such as earnings disappointments or regulatory events - not yet priced into the market.
 200 Day MA
299.0985
 Short Percent
0.0187
 Short Ratio
1.02
 Shares Short Prior Month
594 K
 50 Day MA
329.7176

Jones RSI Context

The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jones Lang LaSalle on the next trading day is expected to be 299.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 338.94.

Jones Lang LaSalle Hype-Price Relationship

Sentiment data for Jones Lang LaSalle synthesizes media coverage, analyst tone, and social engagement into a single signal. When Jones Lang's sentiment diverges sharply from price, a mean-reversion trade may be developing.
For Jones Lang, sentiment analysis reveals whether the prevailing narrative matches business reality. A persistent divergence often resolves in the direction of fundamentals once sentiment normalizes.
Jones Lang Implied Volatility
    
  1.1  
When Jones Lang's implied volatility is unusually high relative to its historical average, options premiums are inflated. Sophisticated investors may choose to sell options in this environment to collect elevated premium income.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jones Lang LaSalle on the next trading day is expected to be 299.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 338.94.
Jones Lang after-hype prediction price
    
  $ 300.13  
The sentiment panel provides context that can be compared with forecasting models and technical indicators.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jones Lang can be used to cross-verify projections for Jones Lang. The historical series provides projection context.

Rule 16 Overview for current Jones contract - Risk Context

Rule 16 applies implied volatility to estimate a daily move of roughly 0.0688% across the 2026-03-20 option cycle. The figure is a neutral volatility reference; near $ 299.29, it implies about $ 0.21 per day.

Open Interest Context: Jones 2026-03-20 Options

Open interest represents the number of active Jones Lang option contracts and offers a participation signal.

Jones Lang Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Jones price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jones using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jones charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Jones Lang simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Jones Lang LaSalle are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Jones Lang LaSalle prices get older.

Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of March 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jones Lang LaSalle on the next trading day is expected to be 299.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.65 , mean absolute percentage error of 87.15 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 338.94 .
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jones Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jones Lang's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Jones Lang  Jones Lang Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

This next-day forecast for Jones Lang LaSalle uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Market Value
299.29
296.44
Downside
299.29
Expected Value
302.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jones Lang stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jones Lang stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.7403
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.574
MADMean absolute deviation5.649
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0177
SAESum of the absolute errors338.94
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Jones Lang LaSalle forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Jones Lang observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.
The mean reversion effect in Jones Lang is stronger when the initial deviation was driven by sentiment rather than fundamental change. Identifying the root cause of Jones Lang's price dislocation is essential before acting.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
297.28300.13302.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
295.99298.84301.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
272.66320.10367.53
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
345.07379.20420.91
Details
Competitive positioning is a critical dimension of Jones Lang analysis. Understanding where Jones Lang LaSalle stands relative to its peers on returns, growth, and valuation helps investors assess whether its advantage is sustainable.

After-Hype Price Density Analysis

The probability distribution for Jones Lang's predicted price encodes the full spectrum of outcomes, weighted by their estimated likelihood. Investors should compare this range against their personal risk tolerance before committing to Jones Lang positions.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

The news prediction model for Jones Lang analyzes the correlation between Jones Lang's historical headline events and same-day or next-day price movements. Jones Lang's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 297.28 and 302.98, respectively. Predictive accuracy varies significantly across different news categories and market regimes for Jones Lang.
Current Value
299.29
297.28
Downside
300.13
After-hype Price
302.98
Upside
The after-hype framework applied to Jones Lang LaSalle assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.

Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jones Lang is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jones Lang backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jones Lang, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
2.85
  0.84 
  0.03 
9 Events
8 Events
In 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
299.29
300.13
0.28 
37.50  
Notes

Hype Timeline

On the 15th of March 2026 Jones Lang LaSalle is traded for 299.29. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.84, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Jones is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 300.13 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 37.5%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Jones Lang is about 1167.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 299.26. The company reported last year's revenue of 26.12 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 792.2 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 13.35 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in 9 days.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jones Lang can be used to cross-verify projections for Jones Lang. The historical series provides projection context.

Related Hype Analysis

Sector-wide news events often affect Jones Lang before the fundamental impact on Jones Lang's own business becomes clear. Peer hype analysis helps investors distinguish between sector-level sentiment shifts and Jones Lang-specific developments.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CWKCushman Wakefield plc 0.30 13 per month 0.00 -0.07 4.95 -4.45 20.70
CIGIColliers International Group 0.30 6 per month 0.00 -0.12 3.26 -5.21 16.14
CSGPCoStar Group 0.02 9 per month 0.00 -0.16 3.32 -6.57 19.70
NMRKNewmark Group-0.19 9 per month 0.00 -0.07 4.09 -4.16 17.77
CBRECBRE Group Class-0.30 11 per month 0.00 -0.06 2.98 -3.55 15.83
MMIMarcus Millichap 0.10 11 per month 0.00 -0.05 2.91 -3.24 10.02
FSVFirstService Corp 0.20 9 per month 0.00 -0.04 2.59 -2.84 11.36
FRPHFrp Holdings Ord-0.18 7 per month 0.00 -0.0011 1.71 -2.15 5.40
TCITranscontinental Realty Investors-2.16 9 per month 0.00 -0.02 6.03 -7.08 22.36
MAYSJ W Mays-1.50 2 per month 2.39 0.10 4.47 -3.78 24.62
HOUSAnywhere Real Estate 0.38 8 per month 1.49 0.25 6.95 -3.45 14.45
RMAXRe Max Holding 0.1 8 per month 0.00 -0.18 3.34 -4.83 11.70

Other Forecasting Options for Jones Lang

For both new and experienced investors in Jones, the ability to analyze Jones Lang's price movement is a fundamental investment skill. Price chart noise in Jones Stock can create false signals and mislead investment decisions.

Jones Lang Related Equities

The following equities are related to Jones Lang within the Real Estate space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Jones Lang against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jones Lang Market Strength Events

Tracking market strength indicators for Jones Lang helps investors understand the momentum dynamics of the stock in real time. These signals support informed decisions about when to enter or exit positions in Jones Lang LaSalle for maximum return potential.

Jones Lang Risk Indicators

Properly assessing Jones Lang's risk indicators is a prerequisite for building reliable price forecasts. Identifying and quantifying the risks associated with Jones Lang's allows investors to make better-informed decisions about accepting or hedging their exposure.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Jones Lang

Coverage intensity for Jones Lang LaSalle matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.

Jones Lang Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to Jones Lang LaSalle matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments599.1 M

More Resources for Jones Stock Analysis

A comprehensive view of Jones Lang LaSalle starts with financial statements and ratio context. Key ratios help frame profitability, efficiency, and growth context for Jones Lang LaSalle Stock. Key reports that frame Jones Lang LaSalle Stock are listed below:
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jones Lang can be used to cross-verify projections for Jones Lang. The historical series provides projection context.
Analysis related to Jones Lang should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.681
 Earnings Share
16.4
 Revenue Per Share
551.532
 Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.117
 Return On Assets
0.0424
Understanding Jones Lang LaSalle includes distinguishing between market value and book value, where book value reflects Jones's accounting equity. Jones Lang's market capitalization is 14.12 B. A P/B ratio of 1.84 indicates the market values Jones Lang above its accounting book value. Enterprise value stands at 15.77 B. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
It is useful to distinguish Jones Lang's value from its trading price, which are computed with different methods. For Jones Lang, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 21.31, a P/B ratio of 1.84, a profit margin of 3.03%, and ROE of 10.91%. By contrast, market price reflects the level where buyers and sellers transact.