Jiangsu Expressway Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| JEXYF Stock | USD 1.20 0.00 0.00% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jiangsu Expressway on the next trading day is expected to be 1.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.15. Jiangsu Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jiangsu Expressway's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Jiangsu Expressway's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Jiangsu Expressway hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jiangsu Expressway from the perspective of Jiangsu Expressway response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jiangsu Expressway on the next trading day is expected to be 1.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.15. Jiangsu Expressway after-hype prediction price | USD 1.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Jiangsu |
Jiangsu Expressway Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jiangsu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jiangsu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jiangsu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Jiangsu Expressway Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jiangsu Expressway on the next trading day is expected to be 1.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jiangsu Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jiangsu Expressway's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Jiangsu Expressway Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Jiangsu Expressway | Jiangsu Expressway Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Jiangsu Expressway Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Jiangsu Expressway's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jiangsu Expressway's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.04, respectively. We have considered Jiangsu Expressway's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jiangsu Expressway pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jiangsu Expressway pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0025 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0025 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0021 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.15 |
Predictive Modules for Jiangsu Expressway
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jiangsu Expressway. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jiangsu Expressway's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jiangsu Expressway After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jiangsu Expressway at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jiangsu Expressway or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Jiangsu Expressway, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jiangsu Expressway Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jiangsu Expressway's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jiangsu Expressway's historical news coverage. Jiangsu Expressway's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 3.03, respectively. We have considered Jiangsu Expressway's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jiangsu Expressway is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jiangsu Expressway is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jiangsu Expressway Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jiangsu Expressway is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jiangsu Expressway backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jiangsu Expressway, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.20 | 1.20 | 0.00 |
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Jiangsu Expressway Hype Timeline
Jiangsu Expressway is currently traded for 1.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Jiangsu is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Jiangsu Expressway is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.20. About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Jiangsu Expressway last dividend was issued on the 5th of July 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jiangsu Expressway to cross-verify your projections.Jiangsu Expressway Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jiangsu Expressway's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jiangsu Expressway's future price movements. Getting to know how Jiangsu Expressway's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jiangsu Expressway may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ZHEXF | Zhejiang Expressway Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.13 | (4.00) | 11.22 | |
| CITAF | COSCO SHIPPING Development | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | (7.14) | 28.72 | |
| HTCMF | Hitachi Construction Machinery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 9.19 | |
| AYALY | Ayala Corp ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.34 | 0.03 | 13.48 | (12.09) | 35.39 | |
| TCNRF | Tokyo Century | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AUHEF | Anhui Expressway | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.49) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.31 | |
| MAQAF | Atlas Arteria Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1.88 | 0.00 | 20.13 | |
| HAIIF | Haitian International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.31 | |
| SHZNF | Shenzhen Expressway | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SHZNY | Shenzhen Expressway Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Jiangsu Expressway
For every potential investor in Jiangsu, whether a beginner or expert, Jiangsu Expressway's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jiangsu Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jiangsu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jiangsu Expressway's price trends.Jiangsu Expressway Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jiangsu Expressway pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jiangsu Expressway could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jiangsu Expressway by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Jiangsu Expressway Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jiangsu Expressway pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jiangsu Expressway shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jiangsu Expressway pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Jiangsu Expressway entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Jiangsu Expressway Risk Indicators
The analysis of Jiangsu Expressway's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jiangsu Expressway's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jiangsu pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4263 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Variance | 3.09 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Jiangsu Expressway
The number of cover stories for Jiangsu Expressway depends on current market conditions and Jiangsu Expressway's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jiangsu Expressway is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jiangsu Expressway's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Jiangsu Pink Sheet
Jiangsu Expressway financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiangsu Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiangsu with respect to the benefits of owning Jiangsu Expressway security.