Jeld Wen Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| JELD Stock | USD 3.03 0.06 1.94% |
Jeld Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Jeld Wen stock prices and determine the direction of Jeld Wen Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jeld Wen's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Jeld Wen's share price is approaching 48. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Jeld Wen, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1103 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.70) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.31) | Wall Street Target Price 2.7 |
Using Jeld Wen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jeld Wen Holding from the perspective of Jeld Wen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Jeld Wen using Jeld Wen's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Jeld using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Jeld Wen's stock price.
Jeld Wen Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Jeld Wen's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Jeld. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Jeld Wen stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 4.2065 | Short Percent 0.0665 | Short Ratio 2.12 | Shares Short Prior Month 3 M | 50 Day MA 2.5556 |
Jeld Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Jeld Wen Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 2.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.14.Jeld Wen Holding Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Jeld Wen's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Jeld. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Jeld can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Jeld Wen Holding. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Jeld Wen's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Jeld Wen.
Jeld Wen Implied Volatility | 1.21 |
Jeld Wen's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Jeld Wen Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Jeld Wen's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Jeld Wen stock will not fluctuate a lot when Jeld Wen's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Jeld Wen Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 2.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.14. Jeld Wen after-hype prediction price | USD 3.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jeld Wen to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Jeld Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Jeld Wen's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Jeld Wen's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Jeld Wen stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Jeld Wen's open interest, investors have to compare it to Jeld Wen's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Jeld Wen is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Jeld. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Jeld Wen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jeld price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jeld using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jeld charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Jeld Wen Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Jeld Wen Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 2.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jeld Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jeld Wen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Jeld Wen Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Jeld Wen | Jeld Wen Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Jeld Wen Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Jeld Wen's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jeld Wen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 9.44, respectively. We have considered Jeld Wen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jeld Wen stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jeld Wen stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8773 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.363 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1341 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.1402 |
Predictive Modules for Jeld Wen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jeld Wen Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jeld Wen After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jeld Wen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jeld Wen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jeld Wen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jeld Wen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jeld Wen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jeld Wen's historical news coverage. Jeld Wen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 9.83, respectively. We have considered Jeld Wen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jeld Wen is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jeld Wen Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jeld Wen Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jeld Wen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jeld Wen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jeld Wen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 6.80 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.03 | 3.03 | 0.00 |
|
Jeld Wen Hype Timeline
Jeld Wen Holding is currently traded for 3.03. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.09. Jeld is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.49%. %. The volatility of related hype on Jeld Wen is about 3560.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.94. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Jeld Wen was currently reported as 1.33. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.68. Jeld Wen Holding recorded a loss per share of 7.62. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jeld Wen to cross-verify your projections.Jeld Wen Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jeld Wen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jeld Wen's future price movements. Getting to know how Jeld Wen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jeld Wen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MAGN | Magnera Corp placeholder | (0.82) | 6 per month | 2.76 | 0.12 | 8.35 | (5.75) | 34.45 | |
| NPWR | NET Power | 0.05 | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 7.95 | (7.50) | 30.06 | |
| BNC | CEA Industries | (0.37) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 9.58 | (9.22) | 35.96 | |
| BW | Babcock Wilcox Enterprises | (0.15) | 8 per month | 4.74 | 0.22 | 13.18 | (7.60) | 44.19 | |
| MTW | Manitowoc | 0.25 | 9 per month | 2.29 | 0.09 | 4.54 | (3.72) | 14.96 | |
| WNC | Wabash National | 0.06 | 10 per month | 2.18 | 0.05 | 5.40 | (3.78) | 16.28 | |
| MTRX | Matrix Service Co | 0.34 | 16 per month | 4.73 | 0.02 | 3.71 | (4.06) | 22.05 | |
| ESEA | Euroseas | (2.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.87 | (3.78) | 13.57 | |
| BBCP | Concrete Pumping Holdings | (0.01) | 30 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.51 | (4.05) | 15.27 | |
| SPIR | Spire Global | 0.82 | 9 per month | 6.71 | 0.04 | 8.32 | (6.80) | 31.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for Jeld Wen
For every potential investor in Jeld, whether a beginner or expert, Jeld Wen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jeld Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jeld. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jeld Wen's price trends.Jeld Wen Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jeld Wen stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jeld Wen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jeld Wen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Jeld Wen Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jeld Wen stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jeld Wen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jeld Wen stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jeld Wen Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Jeld Wen Risk Indicators
The analysis of Jeld Wen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jeld Wen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jeld stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.61 | |||
| Variance | 43.64 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Jeld Wen
The number of cover stories for Jeld Wen depends on current market conditions and Jeld Wen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jeld Wen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jeld Wen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Jeld Wen Short Properties
Jeld Wen's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jeld Wen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jeld Wen Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jeld Wen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jeld Wen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 150.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jeld Wen to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jeld Wen. If investors know Jeld will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jeld Wen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | Earnings Share (7.62) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Jeld Wen Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jeld that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jeld Wen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jeld Wen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jeld Wen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jeld Wen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jeld Wen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jeld Wen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jeld Wen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.