JB Hunt Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| JBHT Stock | USD 201.03 -9.33 -4.44% |
Momentum
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.236 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.4391 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.2164 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.8437 | Wall Street Target Price 211.1739 |
This summary links JB Hunt's attention patterns to recent price behavior and peer context. The view aggregates JB Hunt's options activity and short interest to frame sentiment.
Short Interest Trend: JB Hunt
Tracking JB Hunt's short interest over time reveals how the bearish community views JBHT's prospects. A steady increase often reflects deteriorating fundamental sentiment.
200 Day MA 168.952 | Short Percent 0.0402 | Short Ratio 2.29 | Shares Short Prior Month 3 M | 50 Day MA 214.5234 |
RSI Trend for JBHT
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JB Hunt Transport on the next trading day is expected to be 200.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 196.16.JB Hunt Transport News-to-Price Pattern
The collective mood of investors toward JB Hunt Transport is heavily influenced by public news flow. Monitoring JB Hunt's sentiment trend allows investors to anticipate crowd-driven price dislocations.
Savvy investors use JB Hunt's sentiment data as a positioning signal. When consensus is overwhelmingly positive, the risk of a sentiment-driven sell-off increases.
JB Hunt Implied Volatility | 0.59 |
JB Hunt's implied volatility rises when investors are uncertain about JB Hunt Transport's future direction - particularly around earnings announcements or regulatory events. It typically falls as uncertainty resolves.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JB Hunt Transport on the next trading day is expected to be 200.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 196.16.JB Hunt after-hype prediction price | $ 210.4 |
The module provides attention context in addition to forecasting models, technical indicators, analyst estimates, and earnings trends.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of JB Hunt to cross-verify projections for JB Hunt. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Rule 16 for the current JBHT contract - Performance Context
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 0.0369% for the 2026-05-15 options. This context is informational: with JB Hunt near $ 201.03, the daily move estimate is $ 0.0741 .
Open Interest for JBHT Options Expiring 2026-05-15
Open interest data for JB Hunt reflects active contracts and can be read alongside price and volatility context.
JB Hunt Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JBHT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JBHT using various technical indicators. When you analyze JBHT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JB Hunt Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JB Hunt Transport on the next trading day is expected to be 200.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.32 , mean absolute percentage error of 20.66 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 196.16 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JBHT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JB Hunt's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
JB Hunt Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest JB Hunt | JB Hunt Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
JB Hunt Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for JB Hunt Transport uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JB Hunt stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JB Hunt stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0125 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.3247 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0155 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 196.1592 |
Experienced investors tracking JB Hunt's watch for mean reversion setups: periods when price has deviated significantly from its long-run average, creating an asymmetric risk-reward profile for patient capital.
JB Hunt After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The after-hype price distribution for JB Hunt reflects the range of predicted outcomes based on historical news impact analysis. The spread of JB Hunt's distribution is a direct measure of the uncertainty inherent in any forward-looking price model.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JB Hunt Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The after-hype price boundaries for JB Hunt are calculated from a database of JB Hunt's historical headline events and subsequent daily price movements. JB Hunt's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 208.46 and 212.34, respectively. Investors should treat these as statistical reference points, not precise predictions for JB Hunt.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to JB Hunt Transport assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
JB Hunt Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JB Hunt is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JB Hunt backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JB Hunt, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.94 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 10 Events | 6 Events | In 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
201.03 | 210.40 | 0.04 |
|
JB Hunt Hype Timeline
JB Hunt Transport is currently traded for 201.03. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. JBHT is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 210.4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on JB Hunt is about 695.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 201.00. The company reported previous year's revenue of 12 B. Net Income was 598.28 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.27 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 10 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of JB Hunt to cross-verify projections for JB Hunt. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.JB Hunt Related Hype Analysis
Peer hype analysis for JB Hunt aggregates sentiment and news impact data from JB Hunt's competitive set to identify sector-wide trends before they are fully reflected in JB Hunt's own price.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XPO | XPO Logistics | 0.81 | 12 per month | 2.48 | 0.17 | 5.39 | -4.14 | 18.61 | |
| EXPD | Expeditors International of | -4.40 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 2.19 | -2.66 | 15.64 | |
| CHRW | CH Robinson Worldwide | -11.41 | 10 per month | 3.10 | 0.08 | 4.64 | -2.66 | 19.66 | |
| ZTO | ZTO Express | 0.52 | 9 per month | 1.28 | 0.13 | 2.73 | -2.34 | 6.19 | |
| MTZ | MasTec Inc | 10.28 | 10 per month | 2.12 | 0.22 | 4.33 | -4.09 | 11.82 | |
| WWD | Woodward | -2.98 | 9 per month | 1.31 | 0.17 | 3.61 | -2.36 | 17.65 | |
| TRU | TransUnion | 2.99 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 4.34 | -4.59 | 16.81 | |
| LUV | Southwest Airlines | -2.34 | 7 per month | 2.17 | 0.09 | 4.46 | -4.88 | 25.59 | |
| ACM | Aecom Technology | -1.16 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 2.87 | -2.88 | 15.25 | |
| CRS | Carpenter Technology | 4.90 | 10 per month | 2.11 | 0.16 | 5.30 | -4.16 | 13.86 |
Other Forecasting Options for JB Hunt
Investors evaluating JBHT at any level of experience must contend with the challenge of understanding JB Hunt's price movement. The presence of noise in JBHT Stock price charts can significantly complicate investment decisions.JB Hunt Related Equities
The following equities are related to JB Hunt within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing JB Hunt against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JB Hunt Market Strength Events
For investors tracking JB Hunt Transport, market strength indicators offer a quantitative way to evaluate how the stock behaves under varying market conditions. These metrics are widely used to refine market timing and identify the most favorable moments to trade JB Hunt.
| Accumulation Distribution | 32752.06 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -1.30 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 204.19 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 203.13 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -7.82 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -9.33 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 42.14 |
JB Hunt Risk Indicators
Analyzing JB Hunt's basic risk indicators provides investors with a structured view of the risk-return trade-off associated with jbht stock. Forecasting JB Hunt's future price accurately requires understanding and quantifying the risks present in the investment.
| Mean Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Variance | 3.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.71 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.56 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for JB Hunt
Coverage intensity for JB Hunt Transport matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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JB Hunt Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to JB Hunt Transport matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 97.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.3 M |
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