IVY SCIENCE Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Regression
| ISTIX Fund | USD 86.25 1.86 2.20% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
This section frames Ivy Science And response to recent headlines in a peer context.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Ivy Science And on the next trading day is expected to be 88.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 124.10.IVY SCIENCE after-hype prediction price | $ 86.25 |
The hype panel supports comparisons with forecasting models, technical signals, analyst consensus, and earnings.
IVY |
IVY SCIENCE Additional Predictive Modules
Forecasting IVY SCIENCE's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. Time-series models tend to perform better when fed clean, stationary data with consistent periodicity.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Ivy Science And on the next trading day is expected to be 88.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.00 , mean absolute percentage error of 6.25 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 124.10 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IVY Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IVY SCIENCE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest IVY SCIENCE | IVY SCIENCE Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Ivy Science And focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The current forecast range spans downside near 86.77 and upside near 89.95.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IVY SCIENCE mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IVY SCIENCE mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.7802 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0017 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.023 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 124.105 |
The mean reversion principle applied to IVY SCIENCE's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Investors exploit this by positioning against extremes in price relative to fundamental value.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Probability distributions applied to IVY SCIENCE price forecasting provide a more honest representation of uncertainty than single point estimates. The shape of IVY SCIENCE's distribution - whether it is symmetric, skewed, or fat-tailed - carries important information for risk.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
News-driven price analysis for IVY SCIENCE quantifies the historical relationship between headline events and IVY SCIENCE's short-term price response. IVY SCIENCE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 84.64 and 87.86, respectively. The strength of this signal depends on the consistency of IVY SCIENCE's past reactions to comparable news categories.
Current Value
This after-hype projection for Ivy Science And uses a 3 months horizon to examine how price may behave after short-term sentiment effects dissipate. IVY SCIENCE is Very Low at this time.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as IVY SCIENCE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IVY SCIENCE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IVY SCIENCE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.59 | 0.09 | 1.43 | 2 Events | 1 Events | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
86.25 | 86.25 | 0.00 |
|
Hype Timeline
Ivy Science And is currently traded for 86.25. The fund has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.43. IVY is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on IVY SCIENCE is about 14.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 87.68. The fund had its last dividend issued on the 12th of December 1970. Assuming a 90-day horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of IVY SCIENCE provides a cross-check on projections for IVY SCIENCE. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
When a direct competitor of IVY SCIENCE experiences a significant news event, the market often re-rates IVY SCIENCE's shares in sympathy or in contrast, depending on whether the news affects the sector broadly or competitively.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BBHLX | Bbh Partner Fund | 6.69 | 6 per month | 1.18 | 0.04 | 1.56 | -1.69 | 5.07 | |
| VMLTX | Vanguard Limited Term Tax Exempt | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.39 | 0.09 | -0.09 | 0.55 | |
| VFFIX | Victory Incore Fund | 81.21 | 6 per month | 0.03 | 0.23 | 0.15 | -0.15 | 0.30 | |
| BXDCX | Barings Active Short | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.26 | 0.11 | -0.11 | 0.53 | |
| BUFIX | Buffalo International Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | 0.07 | 1.55 | -1.61 | 6.19 | |
| IVFLX | Federated International Strategic | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | 0.23 | 1.23 | -0.87 | 4.65 | |
| UMPSX | Ultramid Cap Profund Ultramid Cap | 0.03 | 1 per month | 1.93 | 0.03 | 2.97 | -3.51 | 10.90 | |
| APDWX | Artisan Value Income | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.58 | 0.09 | 1.19 | -1.09 | 2.89 |
Other Forecasting Options for IVY SCIENCE
Regardless of investment experience, understanding IVY SCIENCE's price movement is essential for anyone considering a position in IVY. Price charts for IVY Mutual Fund are often filled with noise that can lead to poor investment choices if not properly filtered.IVY SCIENCE Related Equities
The following equities are related to IVY SCIENCE within the Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing IVY SCIENCE against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IVY SCIENCE Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for IVY SCIENCE give investors insight into the mutual fund's responsiveness to broader market forces. Tracking these indicators helps investors make informed timing decisions and identify periods where trading IVY SCIENCE is likely to be most rewarding.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 86.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 86.25 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.93 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.86 |
IVY SCIENCE Risk Indicators
A thorough review of IVY SCIENCE's risk indicators is an important first step in forecasting its price and managing investment exposure. This analysis helps investors determine the appropriate level of risk to accept when holding IVY SCIENCE's.
| Mean Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Variance | 2.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for IVY SCIENCE
Coverage intensity for Ivy Science And matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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