IQIYI Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| IQ Stock | USD 1.25 0.02 1.63% |
IQIYI's Simple Moving Average reference data is generated by applying the model to available daily closing prices. Accuracy metrics including mean absolute deviation are provided alongside the projection. Projected values and error measures are included as reference material.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of iQIYI Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.77.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of iQIYI Inc price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of IQIYI. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future IQIYI's Simple Moving Average reference data is provided for informational and analytical purposes and does not constitute a trading recommendation. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of iQIYI Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0034 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.77 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IQIYI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IQIYI's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates IQIYI's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. No forecasting approach has been shown to beat all others over time. Investors should treat any model output as a guide, not a guarantee.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IQIYI stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IQIYI stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.5951 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0164 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0462 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0263 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.775 |
Other Forecasting Options for IQIYI
Analyzing IQIYI's price movement through moving averages at different time horizons reveals whether short-term momentum aligns with the longer-term trend. Touches of the upper or lower band in IQIYI's chart can signal overbought or oversold conditions. The rate of change in IQIYI's trading volume often precedes price movements in IQIYI.IQIYI Related Equities
Sizing up IQIYI against these stocks within the Communication Services space shows how it compares on key financial measures. Checking cash flow across this peer set helps gauge IQIYI's relative financial strength. Sector-wide trends across this peer group can help split company-level factors from broader forces.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IQIYI Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for IQIYI stock provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. These metrics are widely used to refine market timing and identify favorable moments to trade IQIYI. Using these indicators, traders can refine their timing when entering or exiting positions in IQIYI.
IQIYI Risk Indicators
Assessing IQIYI's risk indicators is a critical component of any rigorous approach to forecasting its future price. Forecasting IQIYI's future price accurately requires understanding and quantifying the risks present in the investment. Evaluating IQIYI's risk indicators is an important step in assessing the suitability of an investment.
| Mean Deviation | 2.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.74 | |||
| Variance | 7.49 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for IQIYI
The amount of media and story coverage tied to iQIYI Inc can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.
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IQIYI Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to iQIYI Inc matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 963.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.7 B |
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