Industrias Penoles Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

IPOAF Stock  USD 61.78  0.28  0.46%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Industrias Penoles Sab on the next trading day is expected to be 59.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 158.34. Industrias Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Industrias Penoles' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Industrias Penoles' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Industrias Penoles' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Industrias Penoles and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Industrias Penoles' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Industrias Penoles Sab, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Industrias Penoles hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Industrias Penoles Sab from the perspective of Industrias Penoles response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Industrias Penoles Sab on the next trading day is expected to be 59.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 158.34.

Industrias Penoles after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 62.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Industrias Penoles to cross-verify your projections.

Industrias Penoles Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Industrias price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Industrias using various technical indicators. When you analyze Industrias charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Industrias Penoles price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Industrias Penoles Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Industrias Penoles Sab on the next trading day is expected to be 59.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.60, mean absolute percentage error of 9.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 158.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Industrias Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Industrias Penoles' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Industrias Penoles Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Industrias PenolesIndustrias Penoles Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Industrias Penoles Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Industrias Penoles' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Industrias Penoles' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 56.53 and 63.36, respectively. We have considered Industrias Penoles' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
61.78
59.95
Expected Value
63.36
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Industrias Penoles pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Industrias Penoles pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.3567
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.5957
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0563
SAESum of the absolute errors158.336
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Industrias Penoles Sab historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Industrias Penoles

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Industrias Penoles Sab. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.0862.5065.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.4646.8868.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
37.5051.4965.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Industrias Penoles. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Industrias Penoles' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Industrias Penoles' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Industrias Penoles Sab.

Industrias Penoles After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Industrias Penoles at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Industrias Penoles or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Industrias Penoles, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Industrias Penoles Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Industrias Penoles' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Industrias Penoles' historical news coverage. Industrias Penoles' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.08 and 65.92, respectively. We have considered Industrias Penoles' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
61.78
62.50
After-hype Price
65.92
Upside
Industrias Penoles is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Industrias Penoles Sab is based on 3 months time horizon.

Industrias Penoles Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Industrias Penoles is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Industrias Penoles backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Industrias Penoles, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.80 
3.42
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
61.78
62.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Industrias Penoles Hype Timeline

Industrias Penoles Sab is currently traded for 61.78. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Industrias is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.8%. %. The volatility of related hype on Industrias Penoles is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.78. About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.38. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Industrias Penoles Sab last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Industrias Penoles to cross-verify your projections.

Industrias Penoles Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Industrias Penoles' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Industrias Penoles' future price movements. Getting to know how Industrias Penoles' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Industrias Penoles may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AHCHYAnhui Conch Cement 0.00 0 per month 1.91 (0.02) 3.48 (2.64) 11.03 
BDNNYBoliden AB ADR 0.00 0 per month 1.29  0.30  3.94 (2.44) 8.70 
NPCPFNippon Paint Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NDEKFNitto Denko 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.23) 0.00 (1.97) 6.68 
JHIUFJames Hardie Industries 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.02  3.58  0.00  24.61 
AHCHFAnhui Conch Cement 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.24) 0.00  0.00  6.67 
CXMSFCEMEX SAB de 0.00 0 per month 1.11  0.13  4.55 (4.00) 25.28 
IVPAFIvanhoe Mines 0.00 0 per month 2.77  0.09  5.71 (4.78) 14.17 
LUGDFLundin Gold 0.00 0 per month 3.74  0.03  5.75 (4.48) 15.84 
TCKRFTeck Resources Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Industrias Penoles

For every potential investor in Industrias, whether a beginner or expert, Industrias Penoles' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Industrias Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Industrias. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Industrias Penoles' price trends.

Industrias Penoles Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Industrias Penoles pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Industrias Penoles could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Industrias Penoles by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Industrias Penoles Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Industrias Penoles pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Industrias Penoles shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Industrias Penoles pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Industrias Penoles Sab entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Industrias Penoles Risk Indicators

The analysis of Industrias Penoles' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Industrias Penoles' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting industrias pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Industrias Penoles

The number of cover stories for Industrias Penoles depends on current market conditions and Industrias Penoles' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Industrias Penoles is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Industrias Penoles' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Industrias Pink Sheet

Industrias Penoles financial ratios help investors to determine whether Industrias Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Industrias with respect to the benefits of owning Industrias Penoles security.