CATALYST INSIDER Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Regression
| IIXIX Fund | USD 9.19 -0.02 -0.22% |
The Simple Regression forecast shown here for CATALYST INSIDER is reference data produced from the equity's historical price series. Accuracy metrics including mean absolute deviation are provided alongside the projection.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Catalyst Insider Income on the next trading day is expected to be 9.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.22.In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Catalyst Insider Income historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data. This Simple Regression reference page for CATALYST INSIDER presents model-generated projections from historical price data for informational purposes. Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Catalyst Insider Income on the next trading day is expected to be 9.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.22 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CATALYST Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CATALYST INSIDER's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Catalyst Insider Income uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 9.13 on the downside to about 9.36 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CATALYST INSIDER mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CATALYST INSIDER mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.5168 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0196 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0021 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.2172 |
Other Forecasting Options for CATALYST INSIDER
Regardless of investment experience, understanding CATALYST INSIDER's price movement is essential for anyone considering a position in CATALYST. Price charts for CATALYST Mutual Fund are often filled with noise that can lead to poor investment choices if not properly filtered.CATALYST INSIDER Related Equities
The following equities are related to CATALYST INSIDER within the Short-Term Bond space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing CATALYST INSIDER against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CATALYST INSIDER Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for CATALYST INSIDER give investors insight into the mutual fund's responsiveness to broader market forces. Tracking these indicators provides context to make informed timing decisions and identify periods where trading CATALYST INSIDER is likely to be most rewarding.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.19 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.02 |
CATALYST INSIDER Risk Indicators
A thorough review of CATALYST INSIDER's risk indicators is an important first step in forecasting its price and managing investment exposure. This analysis provides context for determining the appropriate level of risk to accept when holding CATALYST INSIDER's.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0586 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.057 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1118 | |||
| Variance | 0.0125 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0207 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0032 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.18 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CATALYST INSIDER
Coverage intensity for Catalyst Insider Income matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.
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