I3 Verticals Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| IIIV Stock | USD 22.30 -0.26 -1.15% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecast shown here for I3 Verticals is reference data produced from its historical price series. The projected value and error measures below serve as reference information. This data is provided for reference and analytical review. The Simple Exponential Smoothing output serves as one input among many for analytical review.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of i3 Verticals on the next trading day is expected to be 22.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.46.This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting i3 Verticals forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent I3 Verticals observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. This Simple Exponential Smoothing reference page for I3 Verticals presents model-generated projections from historical price data for informational purposes. Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of i3 Verticals on the next trading day is expected to be 22.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.34 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.46 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IIIV Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that I3 Verticals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest I3 Verticals | I3 Verticals Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for i3 Verticals focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 19.75 on the downside to about 24.85 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of I3 Verticals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent I3 Verticals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2028 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0667 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4577 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0198 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.46 |
Other Forecasting Options for I3 Verticals
The distribution of I3 Verticals' daily returns is typically non-normal, with fatter tails than a Gaussian model predicts. This can reveal hidden support and resistance zones in I3 Verticals' chart that simple price charts miss. The slope of I3 Verticals' linear regression channel quantifies trend direction and strength over a chosen lookback period. Divergences between OBV and price can foreshadow trend changes in IIIV.I3 Verticals Related Equities
These stocks are related to I3 Verticals within the Industrials space and can be used for peer review, pricing, or spreading risk. Revenue and margin checks across this group help investors set expectations for I3 Verticals' results. When I3 Verticals breaks from its peer group on a key metric, it often signals a firm-level change worth exploring. These links can also guide portfolio spreading choices within the sector.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
I3 Verticals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for I3 Verticals give insight into the stock's responsiveness to broader forces. These indicators are useful for traders seeking optimal timing for positions in i3 Verticals. Market strength analysis for i3 Verticals works best when combined with volume and volatility data. For I3 Verticals, strength indicators are a practical complement to price and fundamental analysis.
I3 Verticals Risk Indicators
A thorough review of I3 Verticals' risk indicators is an important first step in forecasting its price. Quantifying the risk involved in I3 Verticals' allows investors to make better decisions about entry, sizing, and hedging. The assessment of I3 Verticals' risk indicators plays a key role in managing investment exposure. Identifying the magnitude of risk in I3 Verticals' provides context to choose between accepting or hedging exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Variance | 6.3 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for I3 Verticals
Coverage intensity for i3 Verticals matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
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I3 Verticals Short Properties
A short-interest review of i3 Verticals provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66.7 M |
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