VOYA INTERMEDIATE Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Regression
| IIBZX Fund | USD 8.71 -0.07 -0.80% |
This reference page presents Simple Regression forecast data for Voya Intermediate Bond. The model output shown here is derived from VOYA INTERMEDIATE's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Voya Intermediate Bond on the next trading day is expected to be 8.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.38.In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Voya Intermediate Bond historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data. This Simple Regression forecast data for Voya Intermediate Bond is sourced from the most recent available trading data and is intended solely as reference information. Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Voya Intermediate Bond on the next trading day is expected to be 8.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0027 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.38 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VOYA Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VOYA INTERMEDIATE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
Forecasting Voya Intermediate Bond for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VOYA INTERMEDIATE mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VOYA INTERMEDIATE mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.1831 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.039 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0044 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.3794 |
Other Forecasting Options for VOYA INTERMEDIATE
For every potential investor in VOYA, whether a beginner or expert, VOYA INTERMEDIATE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.VOYA INTERMEDIATE Related Equities
The following equities are related to VOYA INTERMEDIATE within the Intermediate Core-Plus Bond space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing VOYA INTERMEDIATE against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VOYA INTERMEDIATE Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VOYA INTERMEDIATE mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VOYA INTERMEDIATE shares will generate the highest return on.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.71 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.71 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.04 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.07 |
VOYA INTERMEDIATE Risk Indicators
The analysis of VOYA INTERMEDIATE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VOYA INTERMEDIATE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1733 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2391 | |||
| Variance | 0.0572 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VOYA INTERMEDIATE
Coverage intensity for Voya Intermediate Bond matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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