ICU Medical Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| ICUI Stock | USD 144.90 2.88 2.03% |
ICU Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of ICU Medical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 16th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of ICU Medical's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ICU Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ICU Medical from the perspective of ICU Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ICU Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 144.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 134.22. ICU Medical after-hype prediction price | USD 144.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ICU Medical to cross-verify your projections. ICU Medical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ICU price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ICU using various technical indicators. When you analyze ICU charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ICU Medical Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ICU Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 144.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.27, mean absolute percentage error of 9.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 134.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ICU Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ICU Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ICU Medical Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ICU Medical | ICU Medical Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
ICU Medical Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ICU Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ICU Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 142.59 and 146.62, respectively. We have considered ICU Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ICU Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ICU Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3579 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.2749 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0154 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 134.2168 |
Predictive Modules for ICU Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ICU Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ICU Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ICU Medical After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ICU Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ICU Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ICU Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ICU Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ICU Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ICU Medical's historical news coverage. ICU Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 142.43 and 146.45, respectively. We have considered ICU Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ICU Medical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ICU Medical is based on 3 months time horizon.
ICU Medical Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ICU Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ICU Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ICU Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.01 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
144.90 | 144.44 | 0.34 |
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ICU Medical Hype Timeline
ICU Medical is currently traded for 144.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.1. ICU is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 144.44. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.34%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on ICU Medical is about 313.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 145.00. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.68. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ICU Medical has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.7. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.32. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. ICU Medical had 3:2 split on the 18th of March 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ICU Medical to cross-verify your projections.ICU Medical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ICU Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ICU Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how ICU Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ICU Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARQT | Arcutis Biotherapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.31 | (3.34) | 13.46 | |
| XRAY | Dentsply Sirona | 0.12 | 8 per month | 1.84 | 0.09 | 5.73 | (2.96) | 16.38 | |
| PBH | Prestige Brand Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.16 | 0.09 | 2.37 | (2.29) | 6.29 | |
| HAE | Haemonetics | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.66 | (3.70) | 13.62 | |
| LIVN | LivaNova PLC | 0.62 | 7 per month | 1.18 | 0.15 | 4.27 | (2.51) | 13.14 | |
| TVTX | Travere Therapeutics | (0.48) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.65 | (6.98) | 28.55 | |
| HTFL | Heartflow Common Stock | 0.73 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.73 | (8.14) | 28.04 | |
| PRGO | Perrigo Company PLC | (0.21) | 10 per month | 1.93 | 0.01 | 3.75 | (2.99) | 7.24 | |
| TARS | Tarsus Pharmaceuticals | 0.85 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.78 | (3.91) | 10.88 | |
| IRON | Disc Medicine | 4.76 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.33 | (7.75) | 14.87 |
Other Forecasting Options for ICU Medical
For every potential investor in ICU, whether a beginner or expert, ICU Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ICU Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ICU. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ICU Medical's price trends.ICU Medical Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ICU Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ICU Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ICU Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ICU Medical Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ICU Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ICU Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ICU Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ICU Medical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ICU Medical Risk Indicators
The analysis of ICU Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ICU Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting icu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Variance | 4.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.18 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.76) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ICU Medical
The number of cover stories for ICU Medical depends on current market conditions and ICU Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ICU Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ICU Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ICU Medical Short Properties
ICU Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when ICU Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ICU Medical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ICU Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ICU Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 308.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ICU Medical to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in ICU Stock please use our How to Invest in ICU Medical guide.You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is there potential for Health Care Equipment & Supplies market expansion? Will ICU introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ICU Medical. Market participants price ICU higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about ICU Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
ICU Medical's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on ICU's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate ICU Medical's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since ICU Medical's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ICU Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ICU Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ICU Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.