Guinness Atkinson Mutual Fund Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Guinness Atkinson Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Guinness price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guinness using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guinness charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for Guinness Atkinson - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Guinness Atkinson prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Guinness Atkinson price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Guinness Atkinson China.

Guinness Atkinson Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Guinness Atkinson China on the next trading day is expected to be 17.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.00.

Guinness Atkinson Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Guinness Atkinson Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guinness Atkinson mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guinness Atkinson mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Guinness Atkinson observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Guinness Atkinson China observations.

Predictive Modules for Guinness Atkinson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guinness Atkinson China. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 16.39 17.19 17.99 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 16.25 17.05 17.85 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 16.03 16.66 17.30 Details

Guinness Atkinson After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Guinness Atkinson Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Guinness Atkinson Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Guinness Atkinson Hype Timeline

Guinness Atkinson China is currently traded for 17.19. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.09. Guinness is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Guinness Atkinson is about 68.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.10. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.34. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Guinness Atkinson China last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Guinness Atkinson to cross-verify your projections.

Guinness Atkinson Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Guinness Atkinson

For every potential investor in Guinness, whether a beginner or expert, Guinness Atkinson's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Guinness Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Guinness. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Guinness Atkinson's price trends.

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