The Hartford Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

The Hartford Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine The price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for The using various technical indicators. When you analyze The charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. The Hartford simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for The Hartford Midcap are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Hartford Midcap prices get older.

The Hartford Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Hartford Midcap on the next trading day is expected to be 20.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.82.

The Hartford Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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The Hartford Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of The Hartford mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent The Hartford mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting The Hartford Midcap forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent The Hartford observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for The Hartford

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hartford Midcap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 18.41 30.43 35.44 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 15.89 20.90 25.91 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 14.33 18.95 23.57 Details

The Hartford After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

The Hartford Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

The Hartford Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

The Hartford Hype Timeline

Hartford Midcap is currently traded for 20.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 16.77, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.35. The is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 29.589 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 17.92%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 44.62%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.6%. The volatility of related hype on The Hartford is about 856.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.81. Debt can assist The Hartford until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, The Hartford's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hartford Midcap sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for The to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about The Hartford's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of The Hartford to cross-verify your projections.

The Hartford Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for The Hartford

For every potential investor in The, whether a beginner or expert, The Hartford's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. The Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in The. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying The Hartford's price trends.

The Hartford Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

The Hartford Market Strength Events

The Hartford Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for The Hartford

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Other Information on Investing in The Mutual Fund